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NBL

Adelaide 36ers72:88Full timeNew Zealand Breakers

19–23 23–25 15–12 15–28

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
64%+3
Adelaide 36ers
36%−3
New Zealand Breakers

Adelaide 36ers v New Zealand Breakers, NBL, played on 4 October 2026. It finished Adelaide 36ers 72–88 New Zealand Breakers. At kick-off the market had Adelaide 36ers as favourite at 1.45 (about 64% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.53 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Adelaide 36ers1.531.45▼ -5.2%
New Zealand Breakers✓2.372.60▲ +9.4%
Total pointsLine 182.5Opening 181.5 → 182.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.891.63▼ -13.8%
Under✓1.832.17▲ +18.2%
Point handicapLine -4.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Adelaide 36ers -4.51.911.81▼ -5.2%
New Zealand Breakers +4.5✓1.811.91▲ +5.5%

Match statistics

  • 53 points made13

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, New Zealand Breakers opened at 2.37 and closed 2.60. The implied probability decreased from 42.1% to 38.5%. Adelaide 36ers moved from 1.53 to 1.45 (65.4% → 69%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total 3-pointers21.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––

Markets (122)

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