NBL15 October 2026, 08:30 UTC

Brisbane Bullets115:105Full timeSE Melbourne Phoenix

30–24 26–31 34–29 25–21

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

31%+3

Brisbane Bullets

69%−3

SE Melbourne Phoenix

Brisbane Bullets v SE Melbourne Phoenix, NBL, played on 15 October 2026. It finished Brisbane Bullets 115–105 SE Melbourne Phoenix. At kick-off the market had SE Melbourne Phoenix as favourite at 1.34 (about 69% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.29 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Brisbane Bullets✓	3.33	3.04	3.53	2.89	▼ -8.8%	32.9%+2.9 pp
SE Melbourne Phoenix	1.29	1.34	1.37	1.26	▲ +3.9%	74.6%-2.9 pp

Total pointsLine 190.5Opening 187.5 → 190.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	2.08	1.71	2.08	1.54	▼ -17.9%	58.5%+10.5 pp
Under	1.68	2.04	2.35	1.68	▲ +21.4%	49.0%-10.5 pp

Point handicapLine 7.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Brisbane Bullets +7.5✓	1.86	1.76	1.91	1.76	▼ -5.3%	56.8%+3.0 pp
SE Melbourne Phoenix -7.5	1.86	1.97	1.97	1.81	▲ +6.0%	50.7%-3.0 pp

Match statistics

1Player:dst:568939:assists0
3Timeouts remaining3

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, SE Melbourne Phoenix opened at 1.29 and closed 1.34. The implied probability decreased from 77.5% to 74.6%. Brisbane Bullets moved from 3.33 to 3.04 (30.1% → 32.9%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total 3-pointers	22.5	2.00 / 1.86	1.74 / 1.86	–	–

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