NBL3 October 2026, 09:30 UTC

Melbourne United95:107Full timeCairns Taipans

14–18 32–29 35–25 14–35

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

82%+10

Melbourne United

18%−10

Cairns Taipans

Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans, NBL, played on 3 October 2026. It finished Melbourne United 95–107 Cairns Taipans. At kick-off the market had Melbourne United as favourite at 1.14 (about 82% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.29 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Melbourne United	1.29	1.14	1.29	1.14	▼ -12.0%	88.0%+10.6 pp
Cairns Taipans✓	3.33	5.14	5.14	3.33	▲ +54.5%	19.5%-10.6 pp

Total pointsLine 180.5Opening 179.5 → 180.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.95	1.78	1.95	1.78	▼ -8.8%	56.2%+4.9 pp
Under	1.78	1.95	1.95	1.78	▲ +9.6%	51.3%-4.9 pp

Point handicapLine -8.5Opening -7.5 → -8.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Melbourne United -8.5	1.97	1.59	1.98	1.59	▼ -19.4%	62.9%+12.2 pp
Cairns Taipans +8.5✓	1.76	2.24	2.24	1.76	▲ +27.4%	44.6%-12.2 pp

Match statistics

53 points made15
0Player:dst:571967:shots on goal0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Cairns Taipans opened at 3.33 and closed 5.14. The implied probability decreased from 30.1% to 19.5%. Melbourne United moved from 1.29 to 1.14 (77.5% → 88%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total 3-pointers	21.5	1.86 / 1.81	1.86 / 1.91	–	–

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