Liga Profesional3 October 2026, 00:30 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia1:1Full timeGimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata

1–0 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

42%−11

Independiente Rivadavia

31%+4

Draw

28%+7

Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata

Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata, Liga Profesional, played on 3 October 2026. It finished Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata. At kick-off the market had Independiente Rivadavia as favourite at 2.24 (about 42% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.78 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Rivadavia	1.78	2.24	2.24	1.78	▲ +25.8%	44.6%-11.5 pp
Draw✓	3.46	3.04	3.52	3.04	▼ -12.3%	32.9%+4.0 pp
Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata	4.45	3.34	4.45	3.34	▼ -25.0%	30.0%+7.5 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.94	2.19	2.19	1.89	▲ +12.8%	45.7%-5.8 pp
Under✓	1.79	1.62	1.84	1.62	▼ -9.5%	61.8%+5.9 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.86	1.86	1.99	1.81	▲ +0.2%	53.8%-0.1 pp
No	1.86	1.86	1.91	1.74	▼ -0.3%	53.8%+0.1 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening -1 → -0.75margin 6.9%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Rivadavia -0.75	2.04	2.76	2.76	2.04	▲ +35.1%	36.3%-12.7 pp
Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata +0.75✓	1.71	1.42	1.71	1.42	▼ -17.1%	70.6%+12.1 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.18	1.29	1.29	1.17	▲ +9.9%	77.5%-7.7 pp
Home or Away	1.27	1.34	1.34	1.26	▲ +5.2%	74.6%-3.9 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.94	1.59	1.94	1.59	▼ -18.2%	62.9%+11.4 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Rivadavia	1.33	1.33	1.33	1.33	–	75.0%
Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata	3.08	3.08	3.08	3.08	–	32.5%

Timeline

4'⚽goal1:0
45'▮yellow card1:0
89'⚽goal1:1

Match statistics

0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Independiente Rivadavia opened at 1.78 and closed 2.24. The implied probability decreased from 56.1% to 44.6%. Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata moved from 4.45 to 3.34 (22.5% → 30%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 6, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.83 / 1.83	1.89 / 1.89	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.01 / 2.08	1.73 / 1.68	6	Over
Total cards	4.5	1.79 / 1.71	1.94 / 2.04	–	–
Total corners	9.5	2.08 / 2.21	1.68 / 1.61	–	–

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