Primera Nacional10 October 2026, 19:30 UTC

Ferrocarril Midland4:0Full timeAtletico de Rafaela

2–0 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

55%−2

Ferrocarril Midland

28%

Draw

17%+2

Atletico de Rafaela

Ferrocarril Midland v Atletico de Rafaela, Primera Nacional, played on 10 October 2026. It finished Ferrocarril Midland 4–0 Atletico de Rafaela. At kick-off the market had Ferrocarril Midland as favourite at 1.71 (about 55% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.65 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ferrocarril Midland✓	1.65	1.71	1.87	1.65	▲ +3.4%	58.7%-2.0 pp
Draw	3.33	3.31	3.41	3.05	▼ -0.7%	30.2%+0.2 pp
Atletico de Rafaela	5.94	5.37	5.94	4.67	▼ -9.6%	18.6%+1.8 pp

Total goalsLine 1.75Opening 1.5 → 1.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.88	1.78	1.88	1.78	▼ -5.4%	56.2%+3.0 pp
Under	1.84	1.95	1.95	1.84	▲ +5.9%	51.3%-3.0 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.47	2.31	2.76	2.31	▼ -6.4%	43.3%+2.8 pp
No✓	1.49	1.56	1.56	1.40	▲ +4.4%	64.2%-2.8 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening -1 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ferrocarril Midland -0.75✓	2.15	2.08	2.15	2.08	▼ -2.9%	48.0%+1.4 pp
Atletico de Rafaela +0.75	1.64	1.68	1.68	1.64	▲ +2.4%	59.5%-1.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.10	1.13	1.16	1.10	▲ +2.5%	88.7%-2.2 pp
Home or Away✓	1.29	1.29	1.34	1.29	▼ -0.1%	77.4%
Draw or Away	2.14	2.05	2.14	1.86	▼ -4.3%	48.9%+2.1 pp

Timeline

13'⚽goal1:0
24'⚽goal2:0
77'⚽goal3:0
91'⚽goal4:0

Match statistics

0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	3.5	1.62 / 1.60	2.18 / 2.23	–	–
Total corners	8.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–

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