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Championship. Group stage

Queensland Lions1:2Full timeSouth Hobart

1–2 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
79%−4
Queensland Lions
13%+2
Draw
8%+2
South Hobart

Queensland Lions v South Hobart, Championship. Group stage, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Queensland Lions 1–2 South Hobart. At kick-off the market had Queensland Lions as favourite at 1.18 (about 79% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.13 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Queensland Lions1.131.18▲ +4.4%
Draw8.047.04▼ -12.5%
South Hobart✓16.0812.07▼ -25.0%
Total goalsLine 4margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.831.99▲ +8.7%
Under✓1.891.75▼ -7.6%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes✓1.861.76▼ -5.1%
No1.861.97▲ +5.8%
Asian handicapLine -2.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Queensland Lions -2.751.862.21▲ +18.8%
South Hobart +2.75✓1.861.61▼ -13.6%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw–––
Home or Away✓1.051.07▲ +1.9%
Draw or Away✓5.304.40▼ -17.0%

Timeline

  1. 27'⚽goal0:1
  2. 33'⚽goal1:1
  3. 34'⚽goal1:2
  4. 39'▮yellow card1:2
  5. 41'▮yellow card1:2
  6. 66'▮yellow card1:2
  7. 71'▮yellow card1:2
  8. 83'⇄substitution1:2
  9. 85'▮yellow card1:2
  10. 95'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

  • 159Dangerous attacks25
  • 0Own goals0
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Queensland Lions opened at 1.13 and closed 1.18. The implied probability decreased from 88.8% to 85%. South Hobart moved from 16.08 to 12.07 (6.2% → 8.3%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total corners (1st half)4.51.65 / 1.652.13 / 2.13––
Total corners10.51.95 / 1.891.78 / 1.83––

Markets (58)

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