First Division16 October 2026, 11:00 UTC

Baku Sporting1:3Full timeMOIK Baku

1–2 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

18%−9

Baku Sporting

30%+3

Draw

52%+5

MOIK Baku

Baku Sporting v MOIK Baku, First Division, played on 16 October 2026. It finished Baku Sporting 1–3 MOIK Baku. At kick-off the market had MOIK Baku as favourite at 1.79 (about 52% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.98 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Baku Sporting	3.51	5.17	6.29	3.51	▲ +47.4%	19.3%-9.2 pp
Draw	3.51	3.10	3.56	2.89	▼ -11.6%	32.2%+3.7 pp
MOIK Baku✓	1.98	1.79	2.14	1.63	▼ -9.7%	55.9%+5.4 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.97	1.93	1.97	1.88	▼ -1.7%	51.7%+0.9 pp
Under	1.76	1.79	1.84	1.76	▲ +1.6%	55.8%-0.9 pp

Asian handicapLine 1Opening 0 → 1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Baku Sporting +1	1.44	1.53	1.69	1.44	▲ +6.2%	65.3%-4.1 pp
MOIK Baku -1✓	2.62	2.37	2.62	2.06	▼ -9.7%	42.2%+4.1 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.76	1.93	2.17	1.65	▲ +9.8%	51.7%-5.0 pp
Home or Away✓	1.26	1.34	1.37	1.26	▲ +5.7%	74.9%-4.3 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.26	1.13	1.26	1.09	▼ -10.5%	88.4%+9.3 pp

Timeline

10'▮yellow card0:0
24'⚽goal1:0
26'▮yellow card1:0
36'▮yellow card1:1
42'⚽goal1:2
53'⇄substitution1:2
60'▮yellow card1:2
63'▮yellow card1:2
82'⇄substitution1:2
85'⇄substitution1:2
85'⇄substitution1:2
93'⚽goal1:3

Match statistics

39Dangerous attacks51
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Baku Sporting opened at 3.51 and closed 5.17. The implied probability decreased from 28.5% to 19.3%. MOIK Baku moved from 1.98 to 1.79 (50.5% → 55.9%).

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