Premier League17 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Qarabag3:3Full timeNeftchi Baku

1–2 2–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

47%−1

Qarabag

26%

Draw

27%+1

Neftchi Baku

Qarabag v Neftchi Baku, Premier League, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Qarabag 3–3 Neftchi Baku. At kick-off the market had Qarabag as favourite at 1.98 (about 47% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.96 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Qarabag	1.96	1.98	1.98	1.82	▲ +1.3%	50.5%-0.7 pp
Draw✓	3.55	3.56	3.66	3.54	▲ +0.3%	28.1%
Neftchi Baku	3.55	3.46	3.95	3.46	▼ -2.6%	28.9%+0.7 pp

Total goalsLine 2.75Opening 2.5 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.87	1.84	1.87	1.84	▼ -1.6%	54.3%+0.8 pp
Under	1.84	1.88	1.88	1.84	▲ +2.2%	53.2%-1.2 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.61	1.60	1.64	1.60	▼ -0.6%	62.6%+0.3 pp
No	2.21	2.23	2.23	2.16	▲ +0.7%	44.9%-0.3 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening 0 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Qarabag -0.75	2.04	2.04	2.04	2.04	–	49.0%
Neftchi Baku +0.75✓	1.71	1.71	1.71	1.71	–	58.5%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.26	1.27	1.27	1.22	▲ +0.5%	78.9%-0.4 pp
Home or Away	1.26	1.27	1.27	1.25	▲ +0.5%	78.9%-0.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.77	1.75	1.88	1.75	▼ -1.3%	57.3%+0.7 pp

Timeline

10'⚽goal0:1
17'⚽goal1:1
33'⚽goal1:2
39'▮yellow card1:2
45'⇄substitution1:2
51'⚽goal1:3
67'⇄substitution1:3
72'⇄substitution1:3
76'▮yellow card1:3
81'⇄substitution1:3
87'⚽goal2:3
93'▮yellow card2:3
94'⚽goal3:3
95'▮yellow card3:3

Match statistics

12Corners0
118Dangerous attacks45
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Markets (39)

Recent form

Qarabag

11 OctAImisli0–2W

Neftchi Baku

09 OctHSabah Baku0–0D

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Qarabag3:3Full timeNeftchi Baku

Opening vs closing odds

Timeline

Match statistics

Odds movement

Markets (39)

Recent form

Qarabag

Neftchi Baku

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