Federation Cup. Group stage6 October 2026, 09:00 UTC

Mohammedan Dhaka3:1Full timeArambagh

0–1 3–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

86%+11

Mohammedan Dhaka

12%−4

Draw

2%−7

Arambagh

Mohammedan Dhaka v Arambagh, Federation Cup. Group stage, played on 6 October 2026. It finished Mohammedan Dhaka 3–1 Arambagh. At kick-off the market had Mohammedan Dhaka as favourite at 1.09 (about 86% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.24 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Mohammedan Dhaka	1.24	1.09	1.24	1.08	▼ -12.5%	92.1%+11.5 pp
Draw	5.79	7.65	7.74	5.79	▲ +32.1%	13.1%-4.2 pp
Arambagh	10.34	42.41	43.35	10.34	▲ +310.0%	2.4%-7.3 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	2.31	1.74	2.31	1.73	▼ -24.9%	57.6%+14.4 pp
Under	1.56	2.01	2.01	1.56	▲ +28.8%	49.9%-14.4 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	3.50	3.50	3.54	3.29	–	28.6%
No	1.27	1.27	1.30	1.26	–	78.9%

Asian handicapLine -2.5Opening -1.5 → -2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Mohammedan Dhaka -2.5	2.18	1.63	2.18	1.63	▼ -25.1%	61.3%+15.4 pp
Arambagh +2.5	1.63	2.17	2.17	1.63	▲ +33.2%	46.2%-15.3 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	–	–	–	–	–	–
Home or Away	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	–	99.9%
Draw or Away	3.35	5.86	5.86	3.35	▲ +75.0%	17.1%-12.8 pp

Timeline

15'⚽goal0:1
45'◎penalty0:1
56'⚽goal1:1
56'▮yellow card1:1
73'⚽goal2:1
73'▮yellow card2:1
93'⚽goal3:1

Match statistics

77Dangerous attacks45
3Substitutions0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Mohammedan Dhaka opened at 1.24 and closed 1.09. The implied probability increased from 80.6% to 92.1%. Arambagh moved from 10.34 to 42.41 (9.7% → 2.4%).

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