Brasileiro Serie A13 October 2026, 00:00 UTC

Red Bull Bragantino SP4:2Full timeCruzeiro EC MG

3–1 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

43%−2

Red Bull Bragantino SP

26%−1

Draw

31%+3

Cruzeiro EC MG

Red Bull Bragantino SP v Cruzeiro EC MG, Brasileiro Serie A, played on 13 October 2026. It finished Red Bull Bragantino SP 4–2 Cruzeiro EC MG. At kick-off the market had Red Bull Bragantino SP as favourite at 2.18 (about 43% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 2.08 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Red Bull Bragantino SP✓	2.08	2.18	2.19	1.90	▲ +5.0%	45.9%-2.3 pp
Draw	3.45	3.57	3.62	3.42	▲ +3.6%	28.0%-1.0 pp
Cruzeiro EC MG	3.30	2.97	3.67	2.97	▼ -9.8%	33.6%+3.3 pp

Total goalsLine 2.75Opening 2.5 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.87	1.74	1.95	1.74	▼ -7.1%	57.5%+4.1 pp
Under	1.85	2.00	2.00	1.78	▲ +8.1%	50.0%-4.0 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.63	1.51	1.67	1.51	▼ -7.3%	66.4%+4.9 pp
No	2.17	2.43	2.43	2.09	▲ +11.8%	41.2%-4.8 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Red Bull Bragantino SP -0.25✓	1.77	1.83	1.84	1.74	▲ +3.5%	54.6%-1.9 pp
Cruzeiro EC MG +0.25	1.96	1.89	2.00	1.88	▼ -3.6%	52.9%+1.9 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.30	1.34	1.34	1.25	▲ +3.6%	74.3%-2.7 pp
Home or Away✓	1.28	1.26	1.29	1.25	▼ -1.0%	79.1%+0.8 pp
Draw or Away	1.67	1.62	1.82	1.62	▼ -3.0%	61.6%+1.8 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Red Bull Bragantino SP✓	1.53	1.53	1.53	1.53	–	65.2%
Cruzeiro EC MG	2.36	2.36	2.36	2.36	–	42.3%

Timeline

12'⚽goal1:0
20'⚽goal2:0
27'▮yellow card2:0
30'⚽goal3:0
43'⚽goal3:1
57'⇄substitution3:1
62'⇄substitution3:1
77'⇄substitution3:1
80'⇄substitution3:1
89'⚽goal3:2
90'⚽goal4:2

Match statistics

31Dangerous attacks92
11Key passes20
5Substitutions5
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Cruzeiro EC MG opened at 3.30 and closed 2.97. The implied probability increased from 30.3% to 33.6%. Red Bull Bragantino SP moved from 2.08 to 2.18 (48.1% → 45.9%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 4, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.75 / 1.85	1.97 / 1.87	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.67 / 1.55	2.11 / 2.33	4	Under
Total cards	4.5(5.5)	1.62 / 1.74	2.18 / 2.01	–	–
Total corners	10.5	1.86 / 1.73	1.86 / 2.01	–	–

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