Brasileiro Serie B12 October 2026, 22:00 UTC

Gremio Novorizontino SP5:1Full timeAA Ponte Preta SP

3–1 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

87%+2

Gremio Novorizontino SP

9%−1

Draw

4%−1

AA Ponte Preta SP

Gremio Novorizontino SP v AA Ponte Preta SP, Brasileiro Serie B, played on 12 October 2026. It finished Gremio Novorizontino SP 5–1 AA Ponte Preta SP. At kick-off the market had Gremio Novorizontino SP as favourite at 1.07 (about 87% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.10 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Gremio Novorizontino SP✓	1.10	1.07	1.13	1.07	▼ -2.6%	93.1%+2.5 pp
Draw	8.83	9.81	10.28	7.56	▲ +11.2%	10.2%-1.1 pp
AA Ponte Preta SP	18.05	23.75	24.75	17.52	▲ +31.6%	4.2%-1.3 pp

Total goalsLine 3.75Opening 3.5 → 3.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.91	1.91	1.91	1.91	–	52.3%
Under	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.81	–	55.2%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.29	2.31	2.36	2.25	▲ +0.7%	43.3%-0.3 pp
No	1.56	1.56	1.58	1.54	▼ -0.5%	64.2%+0.3 pp

Asian handicapLine -2.75Opening -2.5 → -2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Gremio Novorizontino SP -2.75✓	1.91	1.91	1.91	1.91	–	52.3%
AA Ponte Preta SP +2.75	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.81	–	55.2%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	–	–	–	–	–	–
Home or Away✓	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	–	99.9%
Draw or Away	5.21	6.70	6.70	4.84	▲ +28.6%	14.9%-4.3 pp

Timeline

11'⚽goal1:0
24'⚽goal2:0
44'⚽goal2:1
52'⚽goal3:1
62'▮red card3:1
67'⇄substitution3:1
67'⇄substitution3:1
80'⚽goal4:1
82'▮yellow card4:1
84'⇄substitution4:1
88'▮red card4:1
89'⚽goal5:1
92'▮yellow card5:1

Match statistics

91Dangerous attacks86
9Key passes9
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Gremio Novorizontino SP opened at 1.10 and closed 1.07. The implied probability increased from 90.7% to 93.1%.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	5.5	2.00 / 1.95	1.74 / 1.78	–	–
Total cards	4.5	1.98 / 1.93	1.75 / 1.80	–	–
Total corners	11.5	2.00 / 1.89	1.74 / 1.83	–	–

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