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Copa Paulista. Final. First Leg

Uniao Sao Joao1:1Full timeSao Jose dos Campos

1–1 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
30%−3
Uniao Sao Joao
32%+3
Draw
38%+1
Sao Jose dos Campos

Uniao Sao Joao v Sao Jose dos Campos, Copa Paulista. Final. First Leg, played on 11 October 2026. It finished Uniao Sao Joao 1–1 Sao Jose dos Campos. At kick-off the market had Sao Jose dos Campos as favourite at 2.43 (about 38% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.47 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Uniao Sao Joao2.833.15▲ +11.2%
Draw✓3.142.89▼ -8.0%
Sao Jose dos Campos2.472.43▼ -1.9%
Total goalsLine 2margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.891.91▲ +1.1%
Under1.831.81▼ -1.0%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes✓2.112.17▲ +2.4%
No1.661.63▼ -1.8%
Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Uniao Sao Joao 02.012.11▲ +5.1%
Sao Jose dos Campos 01.731.66▼ -4.0%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw✓1.491.50▲ +0.5%
Home or Away1.321.38▲ +4.4%
Draw or Away✓1.391.32▼ -4.8%

Timeline

  1. 16'⚽goal0:1
  2. 44'⚽goal1:1

Match statistics

  • 7Corners5
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Uniao Sao Joao opened at 2.83 and closed 3.15. The implied probability decreased from 35.3% to 31.7%. Draw moved from 3.14 to 2.89 (31.8% → 34.6%).

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Uniao Sao Joao

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