Mineiro. Division 317 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Nacional Minas Gerais1:1Full timeRio Branco Venda Nova

1–1 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

38%−4

Nacional Minas Gerais

33%+7

Draw

29%−3

Rio Branco Venda Nova

Nacional Minas Gerais v Rio Branco Venda Nova, Mineiro. Division 3, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Nacional Minas Gerais 1–1 Rio Branco Venda Nova. At kick-off the market had Nacional Minas Gerais as favourite at 2.44 (about 38% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 2.23 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Nacional Minas Gerais	2.23	2.44	2.44	2.23	▲ +9.6%	41.0%-3.9 pp
Draw✓	3.63	2.86	3.63	2.86	▼ -21.2%	35.0%+7.4 pp
Rio Branco Venda Nova	2.85	3.17	3.17	2.84	▲ +11.2%	31.6%-3.5 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.97	1.97	1.97	1.97	–	50.8%
Under✓	1.76	1.76	1.76	1.76	–	56.7%

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Nacional Minas Gerais 0	1.68	1.66	1.68	1.66	▼ -0.9%	60.2%+0.6 pp
Rio Branco Venda Nova 0	2.09	2.11	2.11	2.09	▲ +1.2%	47.3%-0.6 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.39	1.32	1.39	1.32	▼ -5.5%	75.9%+4.1 pp
Home or Away	1.24	1.39	1.39	1.24	▲ +12.1%	72.0%-8.7 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.60	1.49	1.60	1.49	▼ -6.8%	67.0%+4.5 pp

Timeline

14'⚽goal1:0
28'⚽goal1:1

Match statistics

35Dangerous attacks34

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Draw opened at 3.63 and closed 2.86. The implied probability increased from 27.6% to 35%. Nacional Minas Gerais moved from 2.23 to 2.44 (44.9% → 41%).

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