Primera A6 October 2026, 00:00 UTC

Independiente Medellin0:1Full timeIndependiente Santa Fe

0–0 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

42%−5

Independiente Medellin

28%

Draw

29%+5

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Medellin v Independiente Santa Fe, Primera A, played on 6 October 2026. It finished Independiente Medellin 0–1 Independiente Santa Fe. At kick-off the market had Independiente Medellin as favourite at 2.20 (about 42% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.97 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Medellin	1.97	2.20	2.20	1.85	▲ +11.7%	45.5%-5.3 pp
Draw	3.23	3.28	3.46	3.23	▲ +1.5%	30.5%-0.4 pp
Independiente Santa Fe✓	3.89	3.18	4.10	3.18	▼ -18.3%	31.5%+5.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.96	1.97	1.97	1.86	▲ +0.3%	50.8%-0.1 pp
Under✓	1.77	1.76	1.86	1.76	▼ -0.2%	56.7%+0.1 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.76	1.74	1.83	1.74	▼ -1.7%	57.6%+1.0 pp
No✓	1.97	2.01	2.01	1.89	▲ +2.0%	49.9%-1.0 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening 0 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Medellin -0.75	2.17	2.57	2.57	2.17	▲ +18.5%	39.0%-7.2 pp
Independiente Santa Fe +0.75✓	1.63	1.46	1.63	1.46	▼ -10.6%	68.5%+7.2 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.23	1.33	1.33	1.21	▲ +7.6%	75.3%-5.7 pp
Home or Away✓	1.31	1.30	1.31	1.28	▼ -1.1%	77.0%+0.8 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.73	1.59	1.83	1.59	▼ -7.8%	62.7%+4.9 pp

Timeline

86'⚽goal0:1

Match statistics

3Goal kicks7
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Independiente Santa Fe opened at 3.89 and closed 3.18. The implied probability increased from 25.7% to 31.5%. Independiente Medellin moved from 1.97 to 2.20 (50.8% → 45.5%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 4, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.61 / 1.58	2.21 / 2.26	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.09 / 2.11	1.71 / 1.66	4	Under
Total cards	5.5	1.81 / 1.76	1.91 / 1.97	–	–
Total corners	8.5	1.66 / 1.71	2.11 / 2.04	–	–

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