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ChessBolton Wanderers1:2Full timeStoke City
0–1 1–1
Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City, Championship, played on 10 October 2026. It finished Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Stoke City. At kick-off the market had Stoke City as favourite at 2.50 (about 37% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.69 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.
How to read these odds
1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.
The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.
A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.
Opening vs closing odds
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | 2.49 | 2.70 | ▲ +8.4% | |||
| Draw | 3.33 | 3.29 | ▼ -1.1% | |||
| Stoke City✓ | 2.69 | 2.50 | ▼ -7.0% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over✓ | 1.84 | 1.89 | ▲ +2.7% | |||
| Under | 1.89 | 1.84 | ▼ -2.6% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes✓ | 1.68 | 1.72 | ▲ +1.9% | |||
| No | 2.08 | 2.03 | ▼ -2.2% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers 0 | 1.82 | 1.94 | ▲ +6.4% | |||
| Stoke City 0✓ | 1.90 | 1.79 | ▼ -5.9% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home or Draw | 1.43 | 1.48 | ▲ +3.4% | |||
| Home or Away✓ | 1.28 | 1.28 | – | |||
| Draw or Away✓ | 1.48 | 1.43 | ▼ -3.3% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | 1.81 | 1.81 | – | |||
| Stoke City✓ | 1.91 | 1.91 | – |
Timeline
- 49'⚽goal0:1
- 62'⚽goal0:2
- 91'⚽goal1:2
Match statistics
- 0Red cards1
- 0Player:bg:934929:goal20
- 0Second yellow cards0
Odds movement
Market summary
In the match result market, Bolton Wanderers opened at 2.49 and closed 2.70. The implied probability decreased from 40.2% to 37.1%. Stoke City moved from 2.69 to 2.50 (37.2% → 40.1%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 1, settling under.
Statistical markets vs actual result
| Market | Line | Over opening / closing | Under opening / closing | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total cards (1st half) | 1.5 | 2.31 / 2.31 | 1.56 / 1.56 | 1 | Under |
| Total corners (1st half) | 4.5 | 1.95 / 1.95 | 1.78 / 1.78 | – | – |
| Total cards | 3.5(4.5) | 1.66 / 1.66 | 2.15 / 2.11 | 1 | Under |
| Total corners | 9.5 | 1.97 / 1.97 | 1.76 / 1.76 | – | – |