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ChessCardiff City5:1Full timeWatford FC
4–0 1–1
Cardiff City v Watford FC, Championship, played on 13 October 2026. It finished Cardiff City 5–1 Watford FC. At kick-off the market had Cardiff City as favourite at 1.61 (about 58% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.76 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.
How to read these odds
1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.
The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.
A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.
Opening vs closing odds
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City✓ | 1.76 | 1.61 | ▼ -8.5% | |||
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.17 | ▲ +7.0% | |||
| Watford FC | 4.00 | 4.67 | ▲ +16.8% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over✓ | 1.95 | 1.91 | ▼ -1.9% | |||
| Under | 1.78 | 1.81 | ▲ +1.9% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes✓ | 1.51 | 1.53 | ▲ +1.2% | |||
| No | 2.42 | 2.37 | ▼ -1.9% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City -0.75✓ | 1.97 | 1.71 | ▼ -13.4% | |||
| Watford FC +0.75 | 1.76 | 2.04 | ▲ +16.0% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home or Draw✓ | 1.21 | 1.16 | ▼ -4.4% | |||
| Home or Away✓ | 1.22 | 1.19 | ▼ -2.7% | |||
| Draw or Away | 1.97 | 2.23 | ▲ +13.4% |
Timeline
- 8'▮yellow card0:0
- 10'⚽goal1:0
- 28'⇄substitution1:0
- 35'⚽goal2:0
- 40'⚽goal3:0
- 49'⚽goal4:0
- 55'⇄substitution4:0
- 55'⇄substitution4:0
- 57'⇄substitution4:0
- 66'⇄substitution4:0
- 68'⇄substitution4:0
- 68'⇄substitution4:0
- 68'⇄substitution4:0
- 72'▮yellow card4:0
- 81'⇄substitution4:0
- 81'⇄substitution4:0
- 84'⚽goal5:0
- 85'▮yellow card5:0
- 85'▮yellow card5:0
- 86'⚽goal5:1
- 94'▮yellow card5:1
Match statistics
- 6Corners1
- 53Dangerous attacks32
- 87Passing accuracy79
- 0Second yellow cards0
Odds movement
Market summary
In the match result market, Cardiff City opened at 1.76 and closed 1.61. The implied probability increased from 56.9% to 62.1%. Watford FC moved from 4.00 to 4.67 (25% → 21.4%). The total corners line was 10.5; the actual total was 7, settling under.
Statistical markets vs actual result
| Market | Line | Over opening / closing | Under opening / closing | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total cards (1st half) | 1.5 | 2.01 / 2.08 | 1.73 / 1.68 | – | – |
| Total corners (1st half) | 5.5(4.5) | 2.23 / 2.23 | 1.60 / 1.60 | – | – |
| Total cards | 4.5 | 1.90 / 2.11 | 1.82 / 1.66 | – | – |
| Total corners | 10.5 | 1.84 / 1.84 | 1.88 / 1.88 | 7 | Under |