National League Cup. Group stage13 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Hartlepool United1:2Full timeNewcastle U21

1–2 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

49%+42

Hartlepool United

24%+11

Draw

26%−54

Newcastle U21

Hartlepool United v Newcastle U21, National League Cup. Group stage, played on 13 October 2026. It finished Hartlepool United 1–2 Newcastle U21. At kick-off the market had Hartlepool United as favourite at 1.89 (about 49% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 13.51 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Hartlepool United	13.51	1.89	13.51	1.76	▼ -86.0%	53.0%+45.6 pp
Draw	7.07	3.83	7.07	3.68	▼ -45.7%	26.1%+11.9 pp
Newcastle U21✓	1.16	3.52	3.83	1.16	▲ +202.7%	28.4%-57.5 pp

Total goalsLine 3Opening 3.5 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.76	1.73	1.76	1.71	▼ -2.0%	57.8%+1.1 pp
Under	1.97	2.01	2.04	1.97	▲ +2.3%	49.7%-1.1 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.48	1.48	1.50	1.48	–	67.7%
No	2.51	2.51	2.51	2.45	–	39.8%

Asian handicapLine 1.5Opening 2.5 → 1.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Hartlepool United +1.5✓	1.97	1.09	1.97	1.09	▼ -44.8%	92.1%+41.2 pp
Newcastle U21 -1.5	1.76	6.49	6.49	1.76	▲ +267.9%	15.4%-41.3 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	4.60	1.26	4.60	1.23	▼ -72.6%	79.3%+57.6 pp
Home or Away✓	1.04	1.23	1.24	1.04	▲ +18.3%	81.3%-14.8 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.16	1.84	1.97	1.11	▲ +59.0%	54.4%-32.0 pp

Timeline

7'⚽goal0:1
11'▮yellow card0:1
25'⚽goal1:1
33'⚽goal1:2
45'⇄substitution1:2
54'▮yellow card1:2
62'⇄substitution1:2
62'⇄substitution1:2
64'▮yellow card1:2
71'⇄substitution1:2
75'⇄substitution1:2
75'⇄substitution1:2
77'▮yellow card1:2
85'⇄substitution1:2

Match statistics

38Dangerous attacks33

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Newcastle U21 opened at 1.16 and closed 3.52. The implied probability decreased from 85.9% to 28.4%. Hartlepool United moved from 13.51 to 1.89 (7.4% → 53%).

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