National League South17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Ebbsfleet United6:1Full timeWeston SM

4–0 2–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

54%+2

Ebbsfleet United

25%−1

Draw

21%−1

Weston SM

Ebbsfleet United v Weston SM, National League South, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Ebbsfleet United 6–1 Weston SM. At kick-off the market had Ebbsfleet United as favourite at 1.71 (about 54% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.79 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ebbsfleet United✓	1.79	1.71	1.88	1.71	▼ -4.4%	58.5%+2.6 pp
Draw	3.62	3.76	3.76	3.56	▲ +3.8%	26.6%-1.0 pp
Weston SM	4.18	4.47	4.47	3.81	▲ +6.9%	22.4%-1.5 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.84	1.79	1.84	1.79	▼ -2.6%	55.8%+1.4 pp
Under	1.88	1.93	1.93	1.88	▲ +2.8%	51.7%-1.5 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.76	1.76	1.79	1.71	–	56.7%
No	1.97	1.97	2.04	1.93	–	50.8%

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening -1 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ebbsfleet United -0.75✓	2.04	2.11	2.11	2.04	▲ +3.6%	47.3%-1.7 pp
Weston SM +0.75	1.71	1.66	1.71	1.66	▼ -2.8%	60.2%+1.7 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.20	1.18	1.22	1.18	▼ -1.7%	85.0%+1.4 pp
Home or Away✓	1.25	1.24	1.27	1.24	▼ -0.8%	80.8%+0.7 pp
Draw or Away	1.95	2.03	2.03	1.83	▲ +4.2%	49.3%-2.1 pp

Timeline

7'⚽goal1:0
33'▮yellow card3:0
45'⇄substitution4:0
45'⇄substitution4:0
48'⚽goal5:0
55'⇄substitution5:0
59'⇄substitution5:0
63'⇄substitution5:0
64'⇄substitution5:0
69'⇄substitution5:0
69'⇄substitution5:0
73'⚽goal6:0
75'⇄substitution6:0
76'⇄substitution6:0
77'▮yellow card6:0
87'▮red card6:1
87'▮yellow card6:1

Match statistics

83Dangerous attacks43
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Ebbsfleet United opened at 1.79 and closed 1.71. The implied probability increased from 56% to 58.5%. The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 8, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.95 / 1.95	1.78 / 1.78	8	Over
Total corners	9.5	1.97 / 1.97	1.76 / 1.76	–	–

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