Northern Premier League29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Alfreton Town1:0Full timeGuiseley AFC

1–0 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

42%

Alfreton Town

26%

Draw

31%

Guiseley AFC

Alfreton Town v Guiseley AFC, Northern Premier League, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Alfreton Town 1–0 Guiseley AFC. At kick-off the market had Alfreton Town as favourite at 2.21 (about 42% once the margin is removed). Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Alfreton Town✓	2.21	2.21	2.21	2.20	–	45.3%
Draw	3.52	3.52	3.52	3.51	–	28.4%
Guiseley AFC	2.96	2.96	2.99	2.96	–	33.8%

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.86	1.86	1.86	1.86	–	53.8%
Under✓	1.86	1.86	1.86	1.86	–	53.8%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.71	1.71	1.71	1.71	–	58.4%
No✓	2.04	2.04	2.04	2.04	–	49.1%

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Alfreton Town 0✓	1.64	1.64	1.64	1.64	–	60.9%
Guiseley AFC 0	2.15	2.15	2.15	2.15	–	46.6%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.36	1.36	1.36	1.35	–	73.3%
Home or Away✓	1.26	1.26	1.27	1.26	–	79.3%
Draw or Away	1.60	1.60	1.61	1.60	–	62.4%

Timeline

34'⚽goal1:0

Odds movement

Markets (27)

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·

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