U21 Premier League 216 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Nottingham Forest U213:2Full timeManchester United U21

1–1 2–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

30%+2

Nottingham Forest U21

22%

Draw

49%−2

Manchester United U21

Nottingham Forest U21 v Manchester United U21, U21 Premier League 2, played on 16 October 2026. It finished Nottingham Forest U21 3–2 Manchester United U21. At kick-off the market had Manchester United U21 as favourite at 1.91 (about 49% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.82 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Nottingham Forest U21✓	3.39	3.12	3.39	2.87	▼ -7.9%	32.1%+2.5 pp
Draw	4.35	4.33	4.35	4.07	▼ -0.5%	23.1%+0.1 pp
Manchester United U21	1.82	1.91	2.08	1.82	▲ +5.1%	52.3%-2.6 pp

Total goalsLine 3.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.84	1.71	1.95	1.71	▼ -7.2%	58.5%+4.2 pp
Under	1.88	2.04	2.04	1.78	▲ +8.5%	49.0%-4.2 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.43	1.36	1.45	1.36	▼ -5.3%	73.7%+3.9 pp
No	2.65	2.96	2.96	2.60	▲ +11.6%	33.7%-3.9 pp

Asian handicapLine 0.25Opening 0.75 → 0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Nottingham Forest U21 +0.25✓	2.23	2.01	2.23	1.95	▼ -9.7%	49.7%+4.8 pp
Manchester United U21 -0.25	1.60	1.73	1.78	1.60	▲ +8.4%	57.8%-4.8 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.90	1.81	1.90	1.68	▼ -5.0%	55.3%+2.8 pp
Home or Away✓	1.18	1.19	1.21	1.18	▲ +0.3%	84.3%-0.2 pp
Draw or Away	1.28	1.33	1.38	1.28	▲ +3.4%	75.4%-2.6 pp

Timeline

6'▮yellow card0:0
20'⚽goal1:0
46'⚽goal1:1
46'▮yellow card1:1
55'⚽goal1:2
66'◎penalty1:2
66'▮yellow card1:2
67'⚽goal2:2
69'▮yellow card2:2
81'⚽goal3:2
95'▮yellow card3:2

Match statistics

1Corners4
36Dangerous attacks53
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Manchester United U21 opened at 1.82 and closed 1.91. The implied probability decreased from 55% to 52.3%. Nottingham Forest U21 moved from 3.39 to 3.12 (29.5% → 32.1%).

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