Premier League18 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Defence Force Ethiopia0:1Full timeCommercial Bank of Ethiopia

0–0 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

40%

Defence Force Ethiopia

33%+2

Draw

27%−2

Commercial Bank of Ethiopia

Defence Force Ethiopia v Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, Premier League, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Defence Force Ethiopia 0–1 Commercial Bank of Ethiopia. At kick-off the market had Defence Force Ethiopia as favourite at 2.32 (about 40% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 2.32 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Defence Force Ethiopia	2.32	2.32	2.33	2.32	▲ +0.2%	43.1%
Draw	2.99	2.79	3.00	2.79	▼ -6.7%	35.9%+2.4 pp
Commercial Bank of Ethiopia✓	3.24	3.51	3.51	3.21	▲ +8.1%	28.5%-2.3 pp

Total goalsLine 2Opening 1.5 → 2margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.86	2.13	2.13	1.86	▲ +14.7%	46.9%-6.9 pp
Under✓	1.86	1.65	1.86	1.65	▼ -11.3%	60.6%+6.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.16	2.47	2.47	2.16	▲ +14.5%	40.5%-5.9 pp
No✓	1.64	1.49	1.64	1.49	▼ -8.8%	67.0%+5.9 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Defence Force Ethiopia 0	1.61	1.56	1.61	1.56	▼ -3.1%	64.2%+2.0 pp
Commercial Bank of Ethiopia 0✓	2.21	2.31	2.31	2.21	▲ +4.6%	43.3%-2.0 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.30	1.26	1.31	1.26	▼ -2.8%	79.1%+2.2 pp
Home or Away✓	1.35	1.40	1.40	1.34	▲ +3.4%	71.5%-2.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.56	1.55	1.56	1.55	▼ -0.4%	64.4%+0.3 pp

Timeline

38'▮yellow card0:0
41'▮yellow card0:0
46'⚽goal0:1
51'▮yellow card0:1
59'▮yellow card0:1
64'▮yellow card0:1

Match statistics

1Corners0
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Draw opened at 2.99 and closed 2.79. The implied probability increased from 33.5% to 35.9%. Commercial Bank of Ethiopia moved from 3.24 to 3.51 (30.8% → 28.5%).

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