Brazil. U20. Cup. Round of 16. First Leg14 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Uniao Carmolandense U201:2Full timeFC Sao Paulo U20

1–0 0–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

Uniao Carmolandense U20

12%−1

Draw

86%+1

FC Sao Paulo U20

Uniao Carmolandense U20 v FC Sao Paulo U20, Brazil. U20. Cup. Round of 16. First Leg, played on 14 October 2026. It finished Uniao Carmolandense U20 1–2 FC Sao Paulo U20. At kick-off the market had FC Sao Paulo U20 as favourite at 1.08 (about 86% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.10 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Uniao Carmolandense U20	30.94	36.17	36.17	20.64	▲ +16.9%	2.8%-0.5 pp
Draw	7.32	7.96	8.26	7.32	▲ +8.7%	12.6%-1.1 pp
FC Sao Paulo U20✓	1.10	1.08	1.10	1.08	▼ -1.7%	92.2%+1.6 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.93	1.86	1.93	1.86	▼ -3.8%	53.8%+2.1 pp
Under✓	1.79	1.86	1.86	1.79	▲ +3.7%	53.8%-2.0 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.76	2.93	2.93	2.67	▲ +6.2%	34.1%-2.1 pp
No	1.40	1.36	1.43	1.36	▼ -2.9%	73.4%+2.1 pp

Asian handicapLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Uniao Carmolandense U20 +2.5✓	1.95	2.09	2.09	1.95	▲ +7.4%	47.9%-3.5 pp
FC Sao Paulo U20 -2.5	1.78	1.68	1.78	1.68	▼ -6.0%	59.6%+3.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	5.70	6.30	6.30	5.70	▲ +10.5%	15.9%-1.7 pp
Home or Away✓	1.03	1.02	1.03	1.01	▼ -1.0%	98.0%+0.9 pp
Draw or Away✓	–	–	–	–	–	–

Odds movement

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