Bundesliga18 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Borussia Monchengladbach1:2Full timeTSG Hoffenheim

0–1 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

32%+6

Borussia Monchengladbach

24%+1

Draw

44%−7

TSG Hoffenheim

Borussia Monchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim, Bundesliga, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Borussia Monchengladbach 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim. At kick-off the market had TSG Hoffenheim as favourite at 2.12 (about 44% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.82 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Borussia Monchengladbach	3.55	2.88	3.55	2.87	▼ -18.9%	34.7%+6.6 pp
Draw	4.09	3.91	4.12	3.85	▼ -4.5%	25.6%+1.1 pp
TSG Hoffenheim✓	1.82	2.12	2.14	1.82	▲ +16.4%	47.2%-7.7 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.0%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.94	1.88	1.96	1.79	▼ -3.2%	53.2%+1.7 pp
Under✓	1.78	1.86	1.98	1.77	▲ +4.7%	53.8%-2.5 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.40	1.35	1.40	1.31	▼ -3.9%	74.1%+2.9 pp
No	2.76	3.00	3.18	2.76	▲ +8.7%	33.4%-2.9 pp

Asian handicapLine 0.25Opening 0.75 → 0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Borussia Monchengladbach +0.25	2.21	1.97	2.21	1.91	▼ -11.0%	50.8%+5.6 pp
TSG Hoffenheim -0.25✓	1.61	1.76	1.81	1.61	▲ +9.8%	56.7%-5.6 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.89	1.65	1.89	1.65	▼ -12.9%	60.8%+7.8 pp
Home or Away✓	1.21	1.23	1.23	1.21	▲ +1.6%	81.4%-1.3 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.26	1.37	1.37	1.26	▲ +9.1%	72.8%-6.7 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Borussia Monchengladbach	2.73	2.73	2.73	2.73	–	36.7%
TSG Hoffenheim✓	1.41	1.41	1.41	1.41	–	70.8%

Timeline

44'▮yellow card0:1
45'▮yellow card0:1
51'⇄substitution1:1
59'⇄substitution1:2
68'⇄substitution1:2
88'▮yellow card1:2
88'▮yellow card1:2
90'▮yellow card1:2
93'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

1Medical treatment received on the pitch0
0Player:ab:77507:cards0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, TSG Hoffenheim opened at 1.82 and closed 2.12. The implied probability decreased from 54.9% to 47.2%. Borussia Monchengladbach moved from 3.55 to 2.88 (28.1% → 34.7%). The total throw-ins (1st half) line was 20.5; the actual total was 19, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.04 / 2.04	1.71 / 1.71	–	–
Total offsides (1st half)	1.5	1.78 / 1.78	1.95 / 1.95	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.82 / 1.61	1.89 / 2.21	–	–
Total shots on target (1st half)	4.5	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	–	–
Total goal kicks (1st half)	7.5	2.11 / 2.11	1.66 / 1.66	–	–
Total fouls (1st half)	11.5	1.74 / 1.74	2.01 / 2.01	–	–
Total throw-ins (1st half)	20.5	1.97 / 1.97	1.76 / 1.76	19	Under
Total offsides	3.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–
Total cards	4.5	2.08 / 2.11	1.68 / 1.66	–	–
Total corners	10.5(9.5)	2.34 / 1.84	1.54 / 1.88	–	–
Total shots on target	10.5	1.97 / 1.95	1.76 / 1.78	–	–
Total goal kicks	15.5	2.01 / 2.01	1.74 / 1.74	–	–
Total fouls	24.5	1.73 / 1.73	2.01 / 2.01	–	–
Total shots	29.5(28.5)	1.90 / 1.81	1.82 / 1.91	–	–
Total throw-ins	39.5	1.76 / 1.76	1.97 / 1.97	–	–

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