Regionalliga West10 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 19291:0Full timeSC Paderborn 07 II

0–0 1–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

21%−8

VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 1929

21%−1

Draw

58%+10

SC Paderborn 07 II

VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 1929 v SC Paderborn 07 II, Regionalliga West, played on 10 October 2026. It finished VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 1929 1–0 SC Paderborn 07 II. At kick-off the market had SC Paderborn 07 II as favourite at 1.61 (about 58% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.93 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 1929✓	3.21	4.46	5.07	3.21	▲ +38.9%	22.4%-8.7 pp
Draw	4.08	4.36	4.43	4.08	▲ +6.8%	22.9%-1.6 pp
SC Paderborn 07 II	1.93	1.61	1.93	1.54	▼ -16.6%	62.2%+10.3 pp

Total goalsLine 3Opening 3.5 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.71	1.86	1.86	1.71	▲ +8.6%	53.8%-4.6 pp
Under✓	2.04	1.86	2.04	1.86	▼ -8.6%	53.8%+4.7 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.56	1.61	1.64	1.56	▲ +3.2%	62.2%-2.0 pp
No✓	2.31	2.21	2.31	2.16	▼ -4.4%	45.3%+2.0 pp

Asian handicapLine 1Opening 0 → 1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 1929 +1✓	1.86	1.81	1.86	1.78	▼ -2.6%	55.2%+1.4 pp
SC Paderborn 07 II -1	1.86	1.91	1.95	1.86	▲ +2.8%	52.3%-1.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.80	2.21	2.33	1.80	▲ +23.0%	45.2%-10.4 pp
Home or Away✓	1.21	1.18	1.21	1.18	▼ -1.9%	84.5%+1.6 pp
Draw or Away	1.31	1.17	1.31	1.14	▼ -10.3%	85.3%+8.8 pp

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, SC Paderborn 07 II opened at 1.93 and closed 1.61. The implied probability increased from 51.9% to 62.2%. VfL Sportfreunde Lotte 1929 moved from 3.21 to 4.46 (31.1% → 22.4%).

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