Liga 118 October 2026, 08:30 UTC

Persebaya Surabaya2:2Full timePSS Sleman

1–1 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

66%+7

Persebaya Surabaya

20%−2

Draw

14%−5

PSS Sleman

Persebaya Surabaya v PSS Sleman, Liga 1, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Persebaya Surabaya 2–2 PSS Sleman. At kick-off the market had Persebaya Surabaya as favourite at 1.41 (about 66% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.58 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Persebaya Surabaya	1.58	1.41	1.61	1.41	▼ -11.3%	71.2%+8.0 pp
Draw✓	4.16	4.62	4.62	4.00	▲ +10.9%	21.7%-2.4 pp
PSS Sleman	4.91	6.82	6.82	4.91	▲ +38.9%	14.7%-5.7 pp

Total goalsLine 3margin 8.6%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.81	1.97	2.06	1.81	▲ +8.6%	50.8%-4.3 pp
Under	1.91	1.73	1.91	1.73	▼ -9.5%	57.8%+5.5 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.58	1.79	1.79	1.58	▲ +13.6%	55.8%-7.6 pp
No	2.26	1.93	2.26	1.93	▼ -14.5%	51.7%+7.5 pp

Asian handicapLine -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Persebaya Surabaya -1	1.93	1.64	1.99	1.64	▼ -15.5%	61.2%+9.5 pp
PSS Sleman +1✓	1.79	2.16	2.16	1.75	▲ +20.3%	46.4%-9.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.15	1.07	1.15	1.07	▼ -6.2%	93.0%+5.8 pp
Home or Away	1.20	1.17	1.21	1.16	▼ -2.6%	85.8%+2.2 pp
Draw or Away✓	2.26	2.76	2.76	2.21	▲ +22.1%	36.2%-8.0 pp

Timeline

8'⚽goal0:1
18'▮yellow card0:1
22'▮yellow card0:1
35'⚽goal1:1
45'⇄substitution1:1
56'⇄substitution1:1
56'⇄substitution1:1
60'⚽goal1:2
67'⇄substitution1:2
67'⇄substitution1:2
67'⇄substitution1:2
72'⇄substitution1:2
75'⇄substitution1:2
90'⚽goal2:2

Match statistics

12Corners3
58Dangerous attacks29
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Persebaya Surabaya opened at 1.58 and closed 1.41. The implied probability increased from 63.1% to 71.2%. PSS Sleman moved from 4.91 to 6.82 (20.4% → 14.7%). The total corners line was 9.5; the actual total was 15, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.78 / 1.81	1.95 / 1.91	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.74 / 1.76	2.00 / 1.97	15	Over

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