Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification29 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Burundi2:2Full timeAlgeria

2–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

Burundi

20%+1

Draw

71%−1

Algeria

Burundi v Algeria, Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Burundi 2–2 Algeria. At kick-off the market had Algeria as favourite at 1.30 (about 71% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.28 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Burundi	11.14	10.52	12.14	10.52	▼ -5.5%	9.5%+0.5 pp
Draw✓	4.96	4.71	5.04	4.69	▼ -5.1%	21.2%+1.1 pp
Algeria	1.28	1.30	1.30	1.26	▲ +2.1%	76.7%-1.6 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.77	1.81	1.81	1.77	▲ +2.4%	55.2%-1.3 pp
Under	1.96	1.91	1.96	1.91	▼ -2.5%	52.3%+1.3 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.37	2.31	2.42	2.28	▼ -2.6%	43.3%+1.1 pp
No	1.53	1.56	1.57	1.51	▲ +1.7%	64.2%-1.1 pp

Asian handicapLine 1.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Burundi +1.5✓	1.86	1.81	1.89	1.81	▼ -2.6%	55.2%+1.4 pp
Algeria -1.5	1.86	1.91	1.91	1.83	▲ +2.8%	52.3%-1.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	3.16	3.23	3.56	3.16	▲ +2.2%	30.9%-0.7 pp
Home or Away	1.05	1.16	1.16	1.05	▲ +10.6%	86.1%-9.1 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.02	1.02	1.02	1.01	–	98.0%

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Burundi	7.49	7.49	7.49	7.49	–	13.4%
Algeria	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06	–	94.2%

Timeline

5'⚽goal1:0
12'⚽goal2:0
17'▮yellow card2:0
44'▮yellow card2:1
62'⚽goal2:2
93'▮yellow card2:2

Match statistics

1Yellow cards2
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	0.5	1.46 / 1.46	2.57 / 2.57	2	Over
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.04 / 1.91	1.71 / 1.81	4	Under
Total cards	3.5	2.24 / 2.24	1.59 / 1.59	3	Under
Total corners	9.5	2.04 / 1.97	1.71 / 1.76	–	–

Markets (175)

Related matches

28 Sept
Full time
Zimbabwe0DR Congo2
28 Sept
Full time
Central African RepublicBurkina Faso
28 Sept
16:00
Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
1
1.81
·
X
3.32
·
2
4.52
·
28 Sept
Full time
Central African Republic0Burkina Faso1
1
11.03
▼11.14
X
5.01
▲4.96
2
1.27
▼1.28
28 Sept
Full time
Zimbabwe1DR Congo2
1
5.75
▲4.96
X
3.33
▲3.08
2
1.67
▼1.82
28 Sept
Full time
Equatorial Guinea1Sierra Leone0
1
2.21
▲1.81
X
2.92
▼3.32
2
3.57
▼4.52
28 Sept
Full time
TunisiaBotswana
28 Sept
Full time
Tunisia2Botswana2
1
1.22
▼1.24
X
5.26
▼5.27
2
16.20
▲13.17

Football

Tennis

Basketball

Ice hockey

American football

Baseball

Esports

MMA

Boxing

Volleyball

Handball

Cricket

Rugby

Darts

Snooker

Futsal

Water polo

Badminton

Beach volleyball

Gaelic games

Chess