Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification29 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Cape Verde1:2Full timeRwanda

1–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

66%−3

Cape Verde

23%+1

Draw

11%+2

Rwanda

Cape Verde v Rwanda, Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Cape Verde 1–2 Rwanda. At kick-off the market had Cape Verde as favourite at 1.41 (about 66% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.35 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Cape Verde	1.35	1.41	1.49	1.32	▲ +3.8%	71.2%-2.7 pp
Draw	4.20	4.06	4.24	3.67	▼ -3.3%	24.6%+0.8 pp
Rwanda✓	10.25	8.53	12.04	7.44	▼ -16.8%	11.7%+2.0 pp

Total goalsLine 2.25Opening 2 → 2.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.86	1.81	1.95	1.81	▼ -2.6%	55.2%+1.4 pp
Under	1.86	1.91	1.91	1.78	▲ +2.8%	52.3%-1.5 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.72	2.42	2.76	2.37	▼ -11.2%	41.3%+4.6 pp
No	1.41	1.51	1.53	1.40	▲ +7.0%	66.1%-4.6 pp

Asian handicapLine -1.25Opening -1.5 → -1.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Cape Verde -1.25	1.78	1.95	2.08	1.78	▲ +9.6%	51.3%-4.9 pp
Rwanda +1.25✓	1.95	1.78	1.95	1.68	▼ -8.8%	56.2%+4.9 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.01	1.04	1.07	1.01	▲ +3.3%	95.8%-3.1 pp
Home or Away✓	1.09	1.21	1.26	1.09	▲ +10.8%	83.0%-8.9 pp
Draw or Away✓	2.72	2.76	3.10	2.46	▲ +1.7%	36.2%-0.6 pp

Timeline

39'⚽goal1:0
46'⚽goal1:1
51'⚽goal1:2

Match statistics

0Red cards0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Cape Verde opened at 1.35 and closed 1.41. The implied probability decreased from 73.9% to 71.2%. The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 0, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.18 / 2.18	1.62 / 1.62	0	Under
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.13 / 2.21	1.65 / 1.61	–	–
Total cards	3.5	1.57 / 1.57	2.28 / 2.28	0	Under
Total corners	8.5	1.71 / 1.81	2.04 / 1.91	–	–

Markets (184)

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