Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification30 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Eritrea0:2Full timeSouth Africa

0–2 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

4%−1

Eritrea

13%−1

Draw

83%+2

South Africa

Eritrea v South Africa, Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification, played on 30 September 2026. It finished Eritrea 0–2 South Africa. At kick-off the market had South Africa as favourite at 1.12 (about 83% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.15 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Eritrea	17.09	22.17	22.17	17.09	▲ +29.7%	4.5%-1.3 pp
Draw	6.94	7.36	7.36	6.86	▲ +6.0%	13.6%-0.8 pp
South Africa	1.15	1.12	1.15	1.12	▼ -2.4%	89.4%+2.1 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.86	1.91	2.11	1.86	▲ +2.8%	52.3%-1.5 pp
Under	1.86	1.81	1.86	1.66	▼ -2.6%	55.2%+1.4 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.08	2.37	2.37	2.08	▲ +13.7%	42.2%-5.8 pp
No	1.68	1.53	1.68	1.53	▼ -8.9%	65.3%+5.8 pp

Asian handicapLine 2.5Opening 2.25 → 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Eritrea +2.5	1.66	1.79	1.79	1.66	▲ +8.0%	55.8%-4.4 pp
South Africa -2.5	2.11	1.93	2.11	1.93	▼ -8.5%	51.7%+4.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	4.56	5.21	5.21	4.56	▲ +14.3%	19.2%-2.7 pp
Home or Away	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	–	99.9%
Draw or Away	–	–	–	–	–	–

Match statistics

0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, South Africa opened at 1.15 and closed 1.12. The implied probability increased from 87.3% to 89.4%.

Markets (137)

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