Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification29 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Lesotho0:2Full timeMorocco

0–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

2%−1

Lesotho

Draw

89%+1

Morocco

Lesotho v Morocco, Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Lesotho 0–2 Morocco. At kick-off the market had Morocco as favourite at 1.04 (about 89% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.05 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Lesotho	27.26	37.99	41.14	27.26	▲ +39.4%	2.6%-1.0 pp
Draw	11.61	11.50	12.04	11.49	▼ -1.0%	8.7%
Morocco✓	1.05	1.04	1.05	1.03	▼ -0.9%	96.2%+0.9 pp

Total goalsLine 4Opening 3.5 → 4margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	2.08	2.08	2.08	2.08	–	48.0%
Under✓	1.68	1.68	1.68	1.68	–	59.5%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	3.00	2.96	3.18	2.87	▼ -1.1%	33.7%+0.4 pp
No✓	1.35	1.36	1.38	1.31	▲ +0.5%	73.7%-0.4 pp

Asian handicapLine 3Opening 3.5 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Lesotho +3✓	1.86	1.86	1.86	1.86	–	53.8%
Morocco -3	1.86	1.86	1.86	1.86	–	53.8%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	7.91	7.91	8.37	7.91	–	12.6%
Home or Away✓	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	–	99.9%
Draw or Away✓	–	–	–	–	–	–

Timeline

44'⚽goal0:1
72'▮yellow card0:1
82'⚽goal0:2
84'▮yellow card0:2

Match statistics

0Yellow cards2
11Goal kicks3
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.42 / 2.42	1.51 / 1.51	0	Under
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.08 / 2.18	1.68 / 1.62	–	–
Total cards	3.5	1.76 / 1.76	1.97 / 1.97	2	Under
Total corners	8.5	1.68 / 1.81	2.08 / 1.91	–	–

Markets (177)

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