Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification29 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Uganda1:0Full timeLibya

1–0 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

46%−5

Uganda

31%+3

Draw

23%+3

Libya

Uganda v Libya, Africa Cup of Nations, Qualification, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Uganda 1–0 Libya. At kick-off the market had Uganda as favourite at 2.03 (about 46% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.81 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Uganda✓	1.81	2.03	2.03	1.81	▲ +12.0%	49.4%-5.9 pp
Draw	3.27	2.96	3.27	2.96	▼ -9.5%	33.8%+3.2 pp
Libya	4.62	4.11	4.62	4.11	▼ -11.1%	24.3%+2.7 pp

Total goalsLine 2margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.88	1.97	1.97	1.88	▲ +4.6%	50.8%-2.3 pp
Under✓	1.84	1.76	1.84	1.76	▼ -4.1%	56.7%+2.3 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.23	2.31	2.31	2.23	▲ +3.9%	43.3%-1.7 pp
No✓	1.60	1.56	1.60	1.56	▼ -2.6%	64.2%+1.6 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25Opening -0.75 → -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Uganda -0.25✓	1.51	1.68	1.68	1.51	▲ +11.2%	59.5%-6.7 pp
Libya +0.25	2.42	2.08	2.42	2.08	▼ -13.9%	48.0%+6.7 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.16	1.20	1.20	1.16	▲ +3.2%	83.3%-2.6 pp
Home or Away✓	1.30	1.36	1.36	1.30	▲ +4.4%	73.4%-3.2 pp
Draw or Away	1.91	1.72	1.91	1.72	▼ -10.1%	58.3%+5.9 pp

Timeline

46'⚽goal1:0

Match statistics

2Corners0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Uganda opened at 1.81 and closed 2.03. The implied probability decreased from 55.3% to 49.4%. Draw moved from 3.27 to 2.96 (30.6% → 33.8%).

Markets (116)

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