U20 Friendly Games29 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

Germany U203:0Full timeItaly U20

1–0 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

59%+4

Germany

22%−2

Draw

18%−3

Italy

Germany U20 v Italy U20, U20 Friendly Games, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Germany U20 3–0 Italy U20. At kick-off the market had Germany U20 as favourite at 1.56 (about 59% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.69 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Germany✓	1.69	1.56	1.69	1.56	▼ -7.5%	63.9%+4.8 pp
Draw	3.90	4.22	4.23	3.90	▲ +8.3%	23.7%-2.0 pp
Italy	4.41	5.04	5.04	4.41	▲ +14.4%	19.8%-2.9 pp

Total goalsLine 3Opening 3.5 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.86	1.86	2.14	1.81	–	53.8%
Under	1.86	1.86	1.91	1.65	–	53.8%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.58	1.61	1.74	1.58	▲ +1.7%	62.2%-1.1 pp
No✓	2.26	2.21	2.26	2.01	▼ -2.4%	45.3%+1.1 pp

Asian handicapLine -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Germany -1✓	2.06	1.86	2.06	1.86	▼ -9.9%	53.8%+5.3 pp
Italy +1	1.69	1.86	1.86	1.69	▲ +9.9%	53.8%-5.3 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.18	1.14	1.18	1.14	▼ -2.9%	87.5%+2.5 pp
Home or Away✓	1.22	1.20	1.22	1.19	▼ -1.9%	83.7%+1.6 pp
Draw or Away	2.09	2.29	2.29	2.09	▲ +9.4%	43.8%-4.1 pp

Timeline

44'⚽goal1:0
65'⚽goal2:0
77'⚽goal3:0
90'▮red card3:0

Match statistics

7Corners2
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Germany opened at 1.69 and closed 1.56. The implied probability increased from 59.1% to 63.9%. Italy moved from 4.41 to 5.04 (22.7% → 19.8%).

Markets (43)

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