U21 European Championship, Qualification6 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Northern Ireland U210:1Full timeGreece U21

0–1 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

8%−14

Northern Ireland U21

16%−8

Draw

76%+22

Greece U21

Northern Ireland U21 v Greece U21, U21 European Championship, Qualification, played on 6 October 2026. It finished Northern Ireland U21 0–1 Greece U21. At kick-off the market had Greece U21 as favourite at 1.22 (about 76% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.71 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Northern Ireland U21	4.34	12.04	12.04	4.34	▲ +177.6%	8.3%-14.8 pp
Draw	3.83	5.72	5.72	3.83	▲ +49.2%	17.5%-8.6 pp
Greece U21✓	1.71	1.22	1.71	1.22	▼ -28.6%	81.7%+23.4 pp

Total goalsLine 2.75Opening 2.5 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.86	1.71	1.86	1.71	▼ -8.1%	58.5%+4.8 pp
Under✓	1.86	2.04	2.04	1.86	▲ +9.7%	49.0%-4.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.89	2.16	2.16	1.81	▲ +14.2%	46.3%-6.6 pp
No✓	1.83	1.63	1.91	1.63	▼ -10.7%	61.2%+6.5 pp

Asian handicapLine 1.5Opening 1 → 1.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Northern Ireland U21 +1.5✓	1.41	2.11	2.11	1.41	▲ +50.4%	47.3%-23.8 pp
Greece U21 -1.5	2.75	1.66	2.75	1.66	▼ -39.6%	60.2%+23.9 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	2.04	3.87	3.87	2.04	▲ +89.0%	25.9%-23.0 pp
Home or Away✓	1.23	1.10	1.23	1.02	▼ -9.8%	90.5%+8.9 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.18	1.02	1.18	1.02	▼ -13.8%	97.9%+13.5 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Northern Ireland U21	3.04	3.04	3.04	3.04	–	32.9%
Greece U21✓	1.34	1.34	1.34	1.34	–	74.6%

Timeline

31'⚽goal0:1

Match statistics

0Own goals0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Greece U21 opened at 1.71 and closed 1.22. The implied probability increased from 58.3% to 81.7%. Northern Ireland U21 moved from 4.34 to 12.04 (23.1% → 8.3%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.01 / 2.01	1.73 / 1.73	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.11 / 2.11	1.66 / 1.66	–	–
Total cards	4.5	2.00 / 2.00	1.74 / 1.74	–	–
Total corners	8.5	1.71 / 1.71	2.04 / 2.04	–	–

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