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ChessScotland U215:2Full timeAzerbaijan U21
3–1 2–1
Scotland U21 v Azerbaijan U21, U21 European Championship, Qualification, played on 30 September 2026. It finished Scotland U21 5–2 Azerbaijan U21. At kick-off the market had Scotland U21 as favourite at 1.19 (about 78% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.26 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.
How to read these odds
1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.
The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.
A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.
Opening vs closing odds
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland U21✓ | 1.26 | 1.19 | ▼ -5.4% | |||
| Draw | 5.27 | 6.14 | ▲ +16.6% | |||
| Azerbaijan U21 | 11.15 | 14.10 | ▲ +26.5% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over✓ | 1.74 | 1.81 | ▲ +4.2% | |||
| Under | 2.00 | 1.91 | ▼ -4.4% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes✓ | 1.95 | 1.94 | ▼ -0.7% | |||
| No | 1.78 | 1.79 | ▲ +0.6% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland -2✓ | 1.87 | 1.87 | – | |||
| Azerbaijan +2 | 1.85 | 1.85 | – |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home or Draw✓ | – | – | – | |||
| Home or Away✓ | 1.04 | 1.01 | ▼ -2.7% | |||
| Draw or Away | 3.30 | 4.00 | ▲ +21.1% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland✓ | 1.07 | 1.07 | – | |||
| Azerbaijan | 7.25 | 7.25 | – |
Timeline
- 18'▮yellow card0:0
- 20'⚽goal0:1
- 22'⚽goal1:1
- 25'⚽goal2:1
- 27'⚽goal3:1
- 43'▮yellow card3:1
- 57'▮yellow card3:1
- 59'⚽goal4:1
- 67'▮yellow card4:1
- 69'⚽goal4:2
- 79'⚽goal5:2
Match statistics
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Second yellow cards0
Odds movement
Market summary
In the match result market, Scotland U21 opened at 1.26 and closed 1.19. The implied probability increased from 79.6% to 84.1%. Draw moved from 5.27 to 6.14 (19% → 16.3%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 2, settling over.
Statistical markets vs actual result
| Market | Line | Over opening / closing | Under opening / closing | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total cards (1st half) | 1.5 | 1.91 / 1.91 | 1.81 / 1.81 | 2 | Over |
| Total corners (1st half) | 4.5 | 1.97 / 1.91 | 1.76 / 1.81 | – | – |
| Total cards | 4.5 | 1.86 / 1.86 | 1.86 / 1.86 | 4 | Under |
| Total corners | 9.5 | 2.01 / 1.95 | 1.73 / 1.78 | – | – |