UEFA Champions League20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Paris Saint-Germain4:2Full timeFC Barcelona

1–0 3–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

39%+1

Paris Saint-Germain

22%−2

Draw

39%+1

FC Barcelona

Paris Saint-Germain v FC Barcelona, UEFA Champions League, played on 20 October 2026. It finished Paris Saint-Germain 4–2 FC Barcelona. At kick-off the market had Paris Saint-Germain as favourite at 2.38 (about 39% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.42 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Paris Saint-Germain✓	2.42	2.38	2.45	2.29	▼ -1.7%	42.0%+0.7 pp
Draw	3.92	4.27	4.57	3.92	▲ +9.0%	23.4%-2.1 pp
FC Barcelona	2.46	2.38	2.46	2.30	▼ -3.3%	42.0%+1.4 pp

Total goalsLine 4Opening 3.5 → 4margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	2.04	1.72	2.04	1.68	▼ -15.9%	58.3%+9.3 pp
Under	1.71	2.03	2.08	1.71	▲ +18.8%	49.2%-9.3 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.35	1.18	1.35	1.18	▼ -12.5%	84.9%+10.6 pp
No	3.01	4.42	4.42	3.01	▲ +46.7%	22.6%-10.6 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Paris Saint-Germain 0✓	1.93	1.84	1.93	1.81	▼ -4.5%	54.3%+2.4 pp
FC Barcelona 0	1.80	1.88	1.91	1.80	▲ +4.6%	53.2%-2.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.50	1.53	1.56	1.50	▲ +1.9%	65.4%-1.3 pp
Home or Away✓	1.22	1.19	1.22	1.17	▼ -2.5%	84.2%+2.1 pp
Draw or Away	1.51	1.53	1.57	1.49	▲ +1.3%	65.4%-0.8 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Paris Saint-Germain✓	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.83	–	54.6%
FC Barcelona	1.89	1.89	1.89	1.89	–	52.9%

Timeline

16'▮yellow card0:0
37'⚽goal1:0
54'⚽goal1:1
71'⚽goal2:1
74'⇄substitution2:1
78'⚽goal2:2
80'⚽goal3:2
85'⚽goal4:2

Match statistics

79Attacks96
45Dangerous attacks39
3Medical treatment received on the pitch0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Draw opened at 3.92 and closed 4.27. The implied probability decreased from 25.5% to 23.4%.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.33 / 2.63	1.55 / 1.44	–	–
Total offsides (1st half)	2.5	1.95 / 1.95	1.78 / 1.78	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.87 / 1.87	1.85 / 1.85	–	–
Total shots on target (1st half)	5.5(4.5)	2.23 / 1.78	1.60 / 1.95	–	–
Total goal kicks (1st half)	6.5	1.78 / 1.78	1.95 / 1.95	–	–
Total fouls (1st half)	10.5	1.91 / 1.81	1.81 / 1.91	–	–
Total throw-ins (1st half)	16.5	2.04 / 2.04	1.71 / 1.71	–	–
Total cards	3.5	1.71 / 1.91	2.08 / 1.81	–	–
Total offsides	5.5	2.11 / 2.11	1.66 / 1.66	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.86 / 1.81	1.86 / 1.91	–	–
Total shots on target	11.5	1.74 / 1.51	2.00 / 2.42	–	–
Total goal kicks	14.5	1.97 / 1.97	1.76 / 1.76	–	–
Total fouls	22.5(21.5)	2.04 / 1.86	1.71 / 1.86	–	–
Total throw-ins	31.5	1.74 / 1.74	2.00 / 2.00	–	–
Total shots	31.5(29.5)	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	–	–

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