UEFA Europa Cup Women30 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Real Sociedad Women4:0Full timeHeart of Midlothian WFC

3–0 1–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

88%+11

Real Sociedad (w)

10%−5

Draw

2%−6

Heart of Midlothian WFC (w)

Real Sociedad Women v Heart of Midlothian WFC, UEFA Europa Cup Women, played on 30 September 2026. It finished Real Sociedad Women 4–0 Heart of Midlothian WFC. At kick-off the market had Real Sociedad Women as favourite at 1.05 (about 88% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.20 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Real Sociedad (w)✓	1.20	1.05	1.20	1.05	▼ -12.3%	95.1%+11.7 pp
Draw	6.30	9.70	10.16	6.30	▲ +54.0%	10.3%-5.6 pp
Heart of Midlothian WFC (w)	12.19	46.98	50.12	12.19	▲ +285.4%	2.1%-6.1 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.77	1.58	2.11	1.58	▼ -10.5%	63.2%+6.6 pp
Under	1.96	2.25	2.25	1.66	▲ +14.9%	44.3%-6.6 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.77	1.77	1.77	1.77	–	56.6%
No✓	1.96	1.96	1.96	1.96	–	50.9%

Asian handicapLine -2.5Opening -2 → -2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Real Sociedad (w) -2.5✓	2.25	1.61	2.25	1.61	▼ -28.6%	62.2%+17.8 pp
Heart of Midlothian WFC (w) +2.5	1.59	2.21	2.21	1.58	▲ +39.3%	45.3%-17.8 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	–	–	–	–	–	–
Home or Away✓	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	–	99.9%
Draw or Away	3.72	6.61	6.61	3.72	▲ +77.5%	15.1%-11.7 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Real Sociedad✓	1.05	1.05	1.05	1.05	–	95.2%
Heart of Midlothian WFC	8.15	8.15	8.15	8.15	–	12.3%

Timeline

18'⚽goal1:0
41'⚽goal2:0
44'⚽goal3:0
69'⚽goal4:0
92'▮yellow card4:0

Match statistics

9Corners0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Real Sociedad (w) opened at 1.20 and closed 1.05. The implied probability increased from 83.4% to 95.1%. Heart of Midlothian WFC (w) moved from 12.19 to 46.98 (8.2% → 2.1%).

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