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UEFA Nations League D

Malta1:1Full timeGibraltar

0–0 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
77%+3
Malta
17%−2
Draw
6%−1
Gibraltar

Malta v Gibraltar, UEFA Nations League D, played on 1 October 2026. It finished Malta 1–1 Gibraltar. At kick-off the market had Malta as favourite at 1.21 (about 77% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.26 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Malta1.261.21▼ -4.3%
Draw✓4.875.42▲ +11.4%
Gibraltar12.6515.49▲ +22.5%
Total goalsLine 2.5margin 6.8%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.972.01▲ +1.8%
Under✓1.761.75▼ -0.3%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes✓2.673.00▲ +12.4%
No1.431.35▼ -5.6%
Asian handicapLine -1.5margin 6.3%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Malta -1.51.911.78▼ -6.7%
Gibraltar +1.5✓1.811.99▲ +9.9%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw✓1.001.00▼ -0.3%
Home or Away1.151.12▼ -2.4%
Draw or Away✓3.503.90▲ +11.5%
Draw no betmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Malta1.081.08–
Gibraltar6.726.72–

Timeline

  1. 21'▮yellow card0:0
  2. 52'⚽goal1:0
  3. 60'⚽goal1:1
  4. 62'▮yellow card1:1
  5. 71'▮yellow card1:1
  6. 90'▮yellow card1:1

Match statistics

  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Malta opened at 1.26 and closed 1.21. The implied probability increased from 79.1% to 82.6%. Draw moved from 4.87 to 5.42 (20.6% → 18.4%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 1, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total cards (1st half)1.51.89 / 1.891.83 / 1.831Under
Total offsides (1st half)1.51.81 / 1.811.91 / 1.91––
Total shots on target (1st half)3.51.91 / 1.911.81 / 1.81––
Total corners (1st half)4.52.13 / 2.211.65 / 1.61––
Total goal kicks (1st half)7.52.15 / 2.151.64 / 1.645Under
Total fouls (1st half)12.52.04 / 1.951.71 / 1.78––
Total throw-ins (1st half)20.5(19.5)1.91 / 1.761.81 / 1.97––
Total offsides3.51.97 / 1.971.76 / 1.76––
Total cards4.51.64 / 1.762.14 / 1.974Under
Total shots on target7.51.65 / 1.652.13 / 2.13––
Total corners8.51.74 / 1.782.00 / 1.95––
Total goal kicks14.51.71 / 1.712.04 / 2.04––
Total shots22.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total fouls25.51.86 / 1.741.86 / 2.00––
Total throw-ins38.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––

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