Serie D18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Asd Sasso Marconi 19242:0Full timeLucchese Libertas 1905

0–0 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

24%+5

Asd Sasso Marconi 1924

25%+1

Draw

51%−5

Lucchese Libertas 1905

Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 v Lucchese Libertas 1905, Serie D, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 2–0 Lucchese Libertas 1905. At kick-off the market had Lucchese Libertas 1905 as favourite at 1.82 (about 51% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.65 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Asd Sasso Marconi 1924✓	4.89	3.95	4.89	3.95	▼ -19.4%	25.3%+4.9 pp
Draw	3.77	3.69	3.77	3.51	▼ -2.3%	27.1%+0.6 pp
Lucchese Libertas 1905	1.65	1.82	1.86	1.65	▲ +10.1%	55.0%-5.5 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.76	1.79	1.86	1.76	▲ +2.1%	55.8%-1.2 pp
Under✓	1.98	1.93	1.98	1.86	▼ -2.3%	51.7%+1.2 pp

Asian handicapLine 1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 +1✓	1.68	1.51	1.68	1.45	▼ -10.2%	66.1%+6.7 pp
Lucchese Libertas 1905 -1	2.08	2.42	2.60	2.08	▲ +16.3%	41.3%-6.7 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	2.13	1.91	2.13	1.87	▼ -10.2%	52.3%+5.3 pp
Home or Away✓	1.24	1.24	1.26	1.24	▲ +0.2%	80.6%-0.1 pp
Draw or Away	1.15	1.22	1.22	1.15	▲ +6.4%	82.0%-5.2 pp

Timeline

62'▮yellow card1:0
64'⚽goal2:0
73'▮red card2:0
76'⇄substitution2:0
77'⇄substitution2:0
84'⇄substitution2:0
87'⇄substitution2:0

Match statistics

78Dangerous attacks92

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Lucchese Libertas 1905 opened at 1.65 and closed 1.82. The implied probability decreased from 60.6% to 55%. Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 moved from 4.89 to 3.95 (20.4% → 25.3%).

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