League Cup14 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Matsumoto Yamaga FC0:1Full timeSanfrecce Hiroshima

0–1 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

Matsumoto Yamaga FC

17%+2

Draw

76%−2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Matsumoto Yamaga FC v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, League Cup, played on 14 October 2026. It finished Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. At kick-off the market had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as favourite at 1.22 (about 76% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.19 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC	12.00	12.54	12.54	10.55	▲ +4.5%	8.0%-0.4 pp
Draw	6.60	5.62	6.60	5.55	▼ -14.9%	17.8%+2.6 pp
Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓	1.19	1.22	1.24	1.19	▲ +2.9%	81.7%-2.3 pp

Total goalsLine 3.25Opening 3.5 → 3.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.87	1.78	1.88	1.78	▼ -4.9%	56.2%+2.8 pp
Under✓	1.85	1.95	1.95	1.84	▲ +5.4%	51.3%-2.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.86	1.88	1.97	1.86	▲ +1.1%	53.2%-0.6 pp
No✓	1.86	1.84	1.86	1.76	▼ -1.0%	54.3%+0.6 pp

Asian handicapLine 1.75Opening 2 → 1.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC +1.75✓	1.91	2.04	2.04	1.91	▲ +6.8%	49.0%-3.3 pp
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1.75	1.81	1.71	1.81	1.71	▼ -5.7%	58.5%+3.3 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	4.10	3.85	4.10	3.76	▼ -6.1%	26.0%+1.6 pp
Home or Away✓	1.07	1.11	1.11	1.07	▲ +3.7%	90.1%-3.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.02	1.01	1.02	1.01	▼ -0.3%	98.6%+0.3 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC	8.44	8.44	8.44	8.44	–	11.8%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓	1.04	1.04	1.04	1.04	–	95.7%

Timeline

7'▮yellow card0:0
19'⚽goal0:1
45'⇄substitution0:1
45'⇄substitution0:1
60'⇄substitution0:1
69'▮yellow card0:1
74'⇄substitution0:1
82'⇄substitution0:1

Match statistics

116Attacks94
50Dangerous attacks36
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Draw opened at 6.60 and closed 5.62. The implied probability increased from 15.1% to 17.8%. Sanfrecce Hiroshima moved from 1.19 to 1.22 (84% → 81.7%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.83 / 1.83	1.89 / 1.89	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.81 / 1.81	1.91 / 1.91	–	–

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