Division Nationale17 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Progres Niederkorn1:2Full timeKaerjeng 97

0–1 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

41%−11

Progres Niederkorn

24%+1

Draw

35%+10

Kaerjeng 97

Progres Niederkorn v Kaerjeng 97, Division Nationale, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Progres Niederkorn 1–2 Kaerjeng 97. At kick-off the market had Progres Niederkorn as favourite at 2.28 (about 41% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.79 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Progres Niederkorn	1.79	2.28	2.28	1.79	▲ +27.3%	43.9%-12.0 pp
Draw	4.04	3.88	4.04	3.88	▼ -3.7%	25.7%+1.0 pp
Kaerjeng 97✓	3.73	2.64	3.73	2.64	▼ -29.1%	37.9%+11.0 pp

Total goalsLine 3margin 7.8%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	2.01	2.00	2.01	2.00	▼ -0.6%	50.0%+0.3 pp
Under	1.73	1.73	1.73	1.73	–	57.8%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.61	1.56	1.61	1.56	▼ -3.1%	64.2%+2.0 pp
No	2.21	2.31	2.31	2.21	▲ +4.6%	43.3%-2.0 pp

Asian handicapLine 0Opening -1 → 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Progres Niederkorn 0	1.41	1.71	1.71	1.41	▲ +21.2%	58.4%-12.4 pp
Kaerjeng 97 0✓	2.72	2.04	2.72	2.04	▼ -25.3%	49.1%+12.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.24	1.45	1.45	1.24	▲ +16.6%	69.2%-11.5 pp
Home or Away✓	1.21	1.22	1.22	1.21	▲ +0.8%	82.1%-0.7 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.94	1.57	1.94	1.57	▼ -19.2%	63.7%+12.2 pp

Timeline

45'⇄substitution0:1
51'▮yellow card0:1
54'⚽goal0:2
58'⇄substitution0:2
66'⇄substitution0:2
71'⇄substitution0:2
72'▮yellow card0:2
79'⚽goal1:2
83'▮yellow card1:2
92'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

46Dangerous attacks49

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Progres Niederkorn opened at 1.79 and closed 2.28. The implied probability decreased from 55.9% to 43.9%. Kaerjeng 97 moved from 3.73 to 2.64 (26.8% → 37.9%).

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