Liga De Expansion MX17 October 2026, 01:00 UTC

CF Correcaminos UAT1:2Full timeCSD Dorados Sinaloa

0–1 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

56%−3

CF Correcaminos UAT

22%+1

Draw

22%+2

CSD Dorados Sinaloa

CF Correcaminos UAT v CSD Dorados Sinaloa, Liga De Expansion MX, played on 17 October 2026. It finished CF Correcaminos UAT 1–2 CSD Dorados Sinaloa. At kick-off the market had CF Correcaminos UAT as favourite at 1.67 (about 56% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.59 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CF Correcaminos UAT	1.59	1.67	1.72	1.59	▲ +5.5%	59.7%-3.3 pp
Draw	4.30	4.16	4.30	4.10	▼ -3.2%	24.0%+0.8 pp
CSD Dorados Sinaloa✓	4.71	4.21	4.71	4.00	▼ -10.6%	23.7%+2.5 pp

Total goalsLine 3.25Opening 3.5 → 3.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.90	1.88	1.95	1.81	▼ -1.0%	53.2%+0.5 pp
Under	1.81	1.84	1.91	1.81	▲ +1.6%	54.3%-0.9 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.57	1.48	1.57	1.46	▼ -6.0%	67.7%+4.0 pp
No	2.28	2.51	2.57	2.28	▲ +10.1%	39.8%-4.0 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening -1 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CF Correcaminos UAT -0.75	1.84	1.84	1.89	1.81	–	54.3%
CSD Dorados Sinaloa +0.75✓	1.88	1.88	1.91	1.83	–	53.2%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.15	1.19	1.21	1.15	▲ +3.3%	83.9%-2.8 pp
Home or Away✓	1.18	1.20	1.20	1.18	▲ +1.5%	83.2%-1.3 pp
Draw or Away✓	2.28	2.09	2.28	2.02	▼ -8.3%	47.9%+4.0 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CF Correcaminos UAT	1.30	1.30	1.30	1.30	–	77.0%
CSD Dorados Sinaloa✓	3.27	3.27	3.27	3.27	–	30.5%

Timeline

8'⚽goal0:1
39'⇄substitution0:1
45'⇄substitution0:1
52'▮yellow card0:1
61'⚽goal1:1
69'▮yellow card1:1
82'⇄substitution1:1
82'⇄substitution1:1
89'▮yellow card1:1
93'⇄substitution1:1
93'▮yellow card1:1
95'⚽goal1:2
95'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

90Dangerous attacks39
2Shots on goal3
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, CF Correcaminos UAT opened at 1.59 and closed 1.67. The implied probability decreased from 63% to 59.7%. CSD Dorados Sinaloa moved from 4.71 to 4.21 (21.2% → 23.7%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.71 / 1.71	2.04 / 2.04	–	–
Total corners	10.5	2.08 / 2.08	1.68 / 1.68	–	–

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