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Liga De Expansion MX

Tepatitlan FC1:1Full timeAtletico Morelia

1–0 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
16%−9
Tepatitlan FC
20%−4
Draw
64%+13
Atletico Morelia

Tepatitlan FC v Atletico Morelia, Liga De Expansion MX, played on 10 October 2026. It finished Tepatitlan FC 1–1 Atletico Morelia. At kick-off the market had Atletico Morelia as favourite at 1.46 (about 64% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.81 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Tepatitlan FC3.775.90▲ +56.5%
Draw✓3.874.58▲ +18.3%
Atletico Morelia1.811.46▼ -19.8%
Total goalsLine 3Opening 2.5 → 3margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.861.81▼ -2.6%
Under✓1.861.91▲ +2.8%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes✓1.581.66▲ +5.2%
No2.262.11▼ -6.6%
Asian handicapLine 1.25Opening 1 → 1.25margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Tepatitlan FC +1.25✓1.711.81▲ +6.0%
Atletico Morelia -1.252.041.91▼ -6.3%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw✓1.912.58▲ +35.7%
Home or Away1.231.17▼ -4.9%
Draw or Away✓1.241.10▼ -10.6%

Timeline

  1. 35'⚽goal1:0
  2. 62'⚽goal1:1
  3. 81'▮red card1:1

Match statistics

  • 1Red cards1
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Atletico Morelia opened at 1.81 and closed 1.46. The implied probability increased from 55.2% to 68.7%. Tepatitlan FC moved from 3.77 to 5.90 (26.5% → 16.9%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 6, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total corners (1st half)4.51.76 / 1.711.97 / 2.046Over
Total corners9.51.71 / 1.592.04 / 2.24––

Markets (52)

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