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Liga TDP

Caudillos de Morelos22:00Full timeAtletico Sierra Hermosa

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
25%+10
Caudillos de Morelos
17%−3
Draw
58%−7
Atletico Sierra Hermosa

Caudillos de Morelos v Atletico Sierra Hermosa, Liga TDP, played on 4 October 2026. At kick-off the market had Atletico Sierra Hermosa as favourite at 1.61 (about 58% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.44 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Caudillos de Morelos6.133.68▼ -39.9%
Draw4.605.50▲ +19.6%
Atletico Sierra Hermosa1.441.61▲ +11.7%
Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.891.89–
Under1.831.83–
Asian handicapLine 1Opening 1.5 → 1margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Caudillos de Morelos +11.841.84–
Atletico Sierra Hermosa -11.881.88–
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw2.642.22▼ -15.7%
Home or Away1.171.12▼ -4.2%
Draw or Away1.091.24▲ +13.4%

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Caudillos de Morelos opened at 6.13 and closed 3.68. The implied probability increased from 16.3% to 27.1%. Atletico Sierra Hermosa moved from 1.44 to 1.61 (69.4% → 62.2%).

Markets (5)

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