Women. Premier League11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC

Fencibles United (w)1:2Full timeWellington United Sapphires (w)

1–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

35%−6

Fencibles United (w)

26%+2

Draw

40%+4

Wellington United Sapphires (w)

Fencibles United (w) v Wellington United Sapphires (w), Women. Premier League, played on 11 October 2026. It finished Fencibles United (w) 1–2 Wellington United Sapphires (w). At kick-off the market had Wellington United Sapphires (w) as favourite at 2.33 (about 40% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.58 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Fencibles United (w)	2.32	2.70	2.70	2.32	▲ +16.3%	37.1%-6.0 pp
Draw	3.92	3.63	3.92	3.63	▼ -7.3%	27.6%+2.0 pp
Wellington United Sapphires (w)✓	2.58	2.33	2.62	2.33	▼ -9.4%	42.9%+4.0 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	2.06	2.17	2.17	2.06	▲ +4.8%	46.2%-2.2 pp
Under✓	1.69	1.63	1.69	1.63	▼ -3.7%	61.3%+2.3 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Fencibles United (w) 0	1.81	2.01	2.01	1.79	▲ +11.0%	49.7%-5.5 pp
Wellington United Sapphires (w) 0✓	1.91	1.73	1.93	1.73	▼ -9.5%	57.8%+5.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.45	1.55	1.55	1.45	▲ +7.0%	64.4%-4.5 pp
Home or Away✓	1.22	1.24	1.24	1.22	▲ +1.6%	80.5%-1.3 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.55	1.43	1.55	1.43	▼ -8.2%	70.0%+5.7 pp

Timeline

21'⚽goal0:1
41'⚽goal1:1
47'⚽goal1:2

Match statistics

1Corners1
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Fencibles United (w) opened at 2.32 and closed 2.70. The implied probability decreased from 43.1% to 37.1%. Wellington United Sapphires (w) moved from 2.58 to 2.33 (38.8% → 42.9%).

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