Premiership20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Larne FC1:2Full timeLinfield FC

1–0 0–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

42%−5

Larne FC

29%+2

Draw

29%+3

Linfield FC

Larne FC v Linfield FC, Premiership, played on 20 October 2026. It finished Larne FC 1–2 Linfield FC. At kick-off the market had Larne FC as favourite at 2.19 (about 42% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.97 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Larne FC	1.97	2.19	2.19	1.92	▲ +11.4%	45.7%-5.2 pp
Draw	3.43	3.21	3.57	3.19	▼ -6.5%	31.2%+2.0 pp
Linfield FC✓	3.64	3.26	3.72	3.26	▼ -10.3%	30.7%+3.2 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	2.00	2.01	2.01	1.95	▲ +0.5%	49.7%-0.3 pp
Under	1.74	1.73	1.78	1.73	▼ -0.5%	57.8%+0.3 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.84	1.78	1.84	1.78	▼ -3.1%	56.1%+1.7 pp
No	1.88	1.95	1.95	1.88	▲ +3.4%	51.4%-1.8 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25Opening 0 → -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Larne FC -0.25	1.64	1.64	1.64	1.64	–	60.9%
Linfield FC +0.25✓	2.15	2.15	2.15	2.15	–	46.6%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.25	1.29	1.29	1.24	▲ +3.9%	77.2%-3.0 pp
Home or Away✓	1.28	1.31	1.32	1.26	▲ +2.9%	76.0%-2.2 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.77	1.62	1.80	1.62	▼ -8.4%	61.8%+5.2 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Larne FC	1.43	1.43	1.43	1.43	–	69.9%
Linfield FC✓	2.66	2.66	2.66	2.66	–	37.6%

Timeline

21'⚽goal1:0
46'▮yellow card1:0
51'⚽goal1:1
52'▮yellow card1:1
59'▮yellow card1:1
59'▮yellow card1:1
60'▮yellow card1:1
62'⇄substitution1:1
67'⇄substitution1:1
72'⇄substitution1:1
82'⚽goal1:2
85'▮yellow card1:2
87'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

49Dangerous attacks59
0Own goals0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Larne FC opened at 1.97 and closed 2.19. The implied probability decreased from 50.9% to 45.7%. Linfield FC moved from 3.64 to 3.26 (27.5% → 30.7%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.04 / 2.04	1.71 / 1.71	–	–
Total corners	9.5	2.11 / 2.15	1.66 / 1.64	–	–

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