Primera Division Reserve5 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Deportivo Recoleta (r)0:1Full timeLibertad Asuncion (r)

0–1 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

35%+4

Deportivo Recoleta (r)

31%+5

Draw

35%−8

Libertad Asuncion (r)

Deportivo Recoleta (r) v Libertad Asuncion (r), Primera Division Reserve, played on 5 October 2026. It finished Deportivo Recoleta (r) 0–1 Libertad Asuncion (r). At kick-off the market had Deportivo Recoleta (r) as favourite at 2.68 (about 35% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.99 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Deportivo Recoleta (r)	2.99	2.68	3.38	2.68	▼ -10.3%	37.3%+3.8 pp
Draw	3.60	3.04	3.67	2.93	▼ -15.6%	32.9%+5.1 pp
Libertad Asuncion (r)✓	2.16	2.68	2.73	1.98	▲ +24.0%	37.3%-8.9 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.74	1.78	1.78	1.66	▲ +2.8%	56.1%-1.6 pp
Under✓	2.01	1.95	2.11	1.95	▼ -3.0%	51.4%+1.6 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Deportivo Recoleta (r) 0	2.17	1.88	2.42	1.88	▼ -13.1%	53.2%+7.0 pp
Libertad Asuncion (r) 0✓	1.63	1.84	1.84	1.51	▲ +12.9%	54.3%-7.0 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.64	1.42	1.76	1.41	▼ -13.3%	70.2%+9.4 pp
Home or Away✓	1.25	1.34	1.38	1.24	▲ +7.5%	74.6%-5.6 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.35	1.42	1.42	1.29	▲ +5.3%	70.2%-3.7 pp

Timeline

9'⚽goal0:1
45'▮red card0:1

Match statistics

0Corners4
1Red cards0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Libertad Asuncion (r) opened at 2.16 and closed 2.68. The implied probability decreased from 46.3% to 37.3%. Draw moved from 3.60 to 3.04 (27.8% → 32.9%).

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