III Liga18 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Jagiellonia Bialystok 21:3Full timeSwit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

41%−3

Jagiellonia Bialystok 2

25%+1

Draw

34%+1

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 v Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki, III Liga, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 1–3 Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki. At kick-off the market had Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 as favourite at 2.29 (about 41% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 2.15 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2	2.15	2.29	2.31	2.11	▲ +6.4%	43.7%-2.8 pp
Draw	3.98	3.74	4.04	3.74	▼ -6.0%	26.7%+1.6 pp
Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki✓	2.79	2.70	2.83	2.67	▼ -3.2%	37.0%+1.2 pp

Total goalsLine 3Opening 3.5 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.73	1.73	1.73	1.73	–	57.8%
Under	2.01	2.01	2.01	2.01	–	49.7%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.44	1.45	1.45	1.44	▲ +0.5%	69.0%-0.3 pp
No	2.62	2.60	2.62	2.60	▼ -0.9%	38.5%+0.3 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 0	1.66	1.76	1.76	1.64	▲ +6.3%	56.7%-3.5 pp
Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 0✓	2.11	1.97	2.15	1.97	▼ -7.0%	50.8%+3.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.39	1.42	1.43	1.39	▲ +2.0%	70.3%-1.4 pp
Home or Away✓	1.21	1.24	1.24	1.21	▲ +2.4%	80.8%-1.9 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.65	1.57	1.65	1.56	▼ -5.2%	63.8%+3.3 pp

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 opened at 2.15 and closed 2.29. The implied probability decreased from 46.5% to 43.7%.

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