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Cup. 1/32 Finals

Fazendense1:2Full timeEstrela Amadora

0–0 1–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
5%−6
Fazendense
13%−1
Draw
82%+7
Estrela Amadora

Fazendense v Estrela Amadora, Cup. 1/32 Finals, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Fazendense 1–2 Estrela Amadora. At kick-off the market had Estrela Amadora as favourite at 1.13 (about 82% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.25 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Fazendense8.3118.54▲ +123.1%
Draw6.557.21▲ +10.2%
Estrela Amadora✓1.251.13▼ -9.1%
Total goalsLine 3.5Opening 3 → 3.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over2.181.91▼ -12.1%
Under✓1.631.81▲ +11.5%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes✓2.002.37▲ +18.3%
No1.741.53▼ -11.8%
Asian handicapLine 2.5Opening 2 → 2.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Fazendense +2.5✓1.531.86▲ +21.4%
Estrela Amadora -2.52.371.86▼ -21.4%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw3.725.00▲ +34.5%
Home or Away✓1.081.03▼ -5.0%
Draw or Away✓1.041.04–

Timeline

  1. 64'⚽goal0:1
  2. 77'▮yellow card0:1
  3. 78'⚽goal1:1
  4. 84'⚽goal1:2
  5. 87'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

  • 4Corners5
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Estrela Amadora opened at 1.25 and closed 1.13. The implied probability increased from 80.2% to 88.3%. Fazendense moved from 8.31 to 18.54 (12% → 5.4%).

Markets (48)

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Estrela Amadora

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