Premier League13 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

Richards Bay1:4Full timeMamelodi Sundowns

1–2 0–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

9%−3

Richards Bay

18%−5

Draw

74%+8

Mamelodi Sundowns

Richards Bay v Mamelodi Sundowns, Premier League, played on 13 October 2026. It finished Richards Bay 1–4 Mamelodi Sundowns. At kick-off the market had Mamelodi Sundowns as favourite at 1.26 (about 74% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.41 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Richards Bay	8.06	10.62	11.08	8.06	▲ +31.8%	9.4%-3.0 pp
Draw	4.13	5.26	5.26	4.13	▲ +27.4%	19.0%-5.2 pp
Mamelodi Sundowns✓	1.41	1.26	1.41	1.26	▼ -10.3%	79.1%+8.2 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.99	1.78	1.99	1.78	▼ -10.4%	56.1%+5.8 pp
Under	1.75	1.95	1.95	1.75	▲ +11.3%	51.4%-5.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.19	2.42	2.47	2.19	▲ +10.5%	41.3%-4.3 pp
No	1.62	1.51	1.62	1.49	▼ -6.5%	66.1%+4.3 pp

Asian handicapLine 1.5Opening 1 → 1.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Richards Bay +1.5	1.61	1.93	1.93	1.61	▲ +20.4%	51.7%-10.5 pp
Mamelodi Sundowns -1.5✓	2.21	1.79	2.21	1.79	▼ -18.8%	55.8%+10.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	2.76	3.56	3.56	2.76	▲ +29.1%	28.1%-8.2 pp
Home or Away✓	1.19	1.13	1.19	1.13	▼ -5.0%	88.2%+4.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.05	1.01	1.05	1.01	▼ -3.8%	98.7%+3.8 pp

Timeline

10'⚽goal1:0
62'⇄substitution1:4
62'⇄substitution1:4
62'⇄substitution1:4
62'⇄substitution1:4
66'⇄substitution1:4
66'⇄substitution1:4
67'⇄substitution1:4
78'▮yellow card1:4
78'⇄substitution1:4
85'⇄substitution1:4
85'⇄substitution1:4

Match statistics

7Crosses20
0Dangerous attacks0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Mamelodi Sundowns opened at 1.41 and closed 1.26. The implied probability increased from 70.9% to 79.1%. Draw moved from 4.13 to 5.26 (24.2% → 19%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–

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