Premier League17 October 2026, 11:00 UTC

PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara1:2Full timeFC Fakel Voronezh

1–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

51%+3

PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara

26%−2

Draw

23%−2

FC Fakel Voronezh

PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara v FC Fakel Voronezh, Premier League, played on 17 October 2026. It finished PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara 1–2 FC Fakel Voronezh. At kick-off the market had PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara as favourite at 1.82 (about 51% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.95 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara	1.95	1.82	1.98	1.82	▼ -6.8%	54.9%+3.7 pp
Draw	3.32	3.55	3.55	3.32	▲ +7.0%	28.1%-2.0 pp
FC Fakel Voronezh✓	3.81	4.09	4.09	3.61	▲ +7.3%	24.4%-1.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.91	1.68	1.91	1.68	▼ -12.1%	59.5%+7.2 pp
Under	1.81	2.08	2.08	1.81	▲ +15.0%	48.0%-7.2 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.99	1.82	1.99	1.79	▼ -8.6%	54.9%+4.7 pp
No	1.74	1.90	1.94	1.74	▲ +9.0%	52.6%-4.7 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara -0.25	1.64	1.61	1.64	1.61	▼ -2.1%	62.2%+1.3 pp
FC Fakel Voronezh +0.25✓	2.15	2.21	2.21	2.15	▲ +2.9%	45.3%-1.3 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.23	1.21	1.25	1.16	▼ -1.7%	82.8%+1.4 pp
Home or Away✓	1.30	1.26	1.30	1.26	▼ -3.0%	79.5%+2.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.77	1.90	1.90	1.67	▲ +7.2%	52.7%-3.8 pp

Timeline

16'⚽goal0:1
46'▮yellow card1:1
46'▮yellow card1:1
60'⇄substitution1:1
61'▮yellow card1:1
68'⇄substitution1:2
68'⇄substitution1:2
84'▮yellow card1:2
87'⇄substitution1:2
87'⇄substitution1:2
93'▮yellow card1:2

Match statistics

44Dangerous attacks24
4Medical treatment received on the pitch0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara opened at 1.95 and closed 1.82. The implied probability increased from 51.2% to 54.9%. Draw moved from 3.32 to 3.55 (30.1% → 28.1%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.33 / 2.24	1.54 / 1.59	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.95 / 2.00	1.78 / 1.74	–	–
Total cards	3.5	1.70 / 1.62	2.04 / 2.18	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.97 / 2.04	1.76 / 1.71	–	–

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