Superliga16 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

FK Radnik Surdulica3:0Full timeFK Radnicki Nis

1–0 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

43%+4

FK Radnik Surdulica

27%−2

Draw

29%−3

FK Radnicki Nis

FK Radnik Surdulica v FK Radnicki Nis, Superliga, played on 16 October 2026. It finished FK Radnik Surdulica 3–0 FK Radnicki Nis. At kick-off the market had FK Radnik Surdulica as favourite at 2.15 (about 43% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.38 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
FK Radnik Surdulica✓	2.38	2.15	2.38	2.11	▼ -9.3%	46.4%+4.3 pp
Draw	3.23	3.40	3.46	3.23	▲ +5.6%	29.4%-1.6 pp
FK Radnicki Nis	2.91	3.15	3.23	2.91	▲ +8.5%	31.7%-2.7 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	2.00	2.11	2.11	1.97	▲ +5.6%	47.3%-2.6 pp
Under	1.74	1.66	1.76	1.66	▼ -4.4%	60.2%+2.7 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.78	1.88	1.89	1.76	▲ +5.6%	53.2%-3.0 pp
No✓	1.95	1.84	1.97	1.83	▼ -5.4%	54.3%+2.9 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25Opening 0 → -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
FK Radnik Surdulica -0.25✓	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.76	–	55.2%
FK Radnicki Nis +0.25	1.91	1.91	1.97	1.91	–	52.3%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.37	1.31	1.37	1.30	▼ -4.0%	76.1%+3.0 pp
Home or Away✓	1.31	1.28	1.31	1.26	▼ -1.7%	77.9%+1.3 pp
Draw or Away	1.53	1.64	1.67	1.53	▲ +7.0%	61.1%-4.3 pp

Timeline

9'▮yellow card0:0
23'▮yellow card0:0
30'▮yellow card0:0
44'⚽goal1:0
14'▮red card0:0
45'⇄substitution1:0
45'⇄substitution1:0
45'⇄substitution1:0
55'⚽goal2:0
58'⇄substitution2:0
66'▮yellow card2:0
74'⇄substitution2:0
77'▮yellow card2:0
81'⇄substitution2:0
81'⇄substitution2:0
83'▮yellow card2:0
86'⇄substitution2:0
92'⚽goal3:0

Match statistics

50Dangerous attacks36
0Second yellow cards1

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, FK Radnik Surdulica opened at 2.38 and closed 2.15. The implied probability increased from 42.1% to 46.4%. FK Radnicki Nis moved from 2.91 to 3.15 (34.4% → 31.7%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	3.5	1.66 / 1.61	2.11 / 2.21	–	–
Total corners	8.5	2.04 / 1.95	1.71 / 1.78	–	–

Markets (45)

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